Tennis · resolved market
ITF Sao Paulo: Gustavo Ribeiro De Almeida vs Mateus Alves
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x74b0d70036cf6535ebbb6b36599305bfb5627bc03b5b5979786a2f5b9f58b615
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Mateus Alvesof Gustavo Ribeiro De Almeida, Mateus Alves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,947
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,594
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,947 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Gustavo Ribeiro De Almeida | 24c | 1,429$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.27 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Mateus Alves | 73c | 1,399$1,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.86 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a22…c3b5backed Gustavo Ribeiro De Almeida | 22c | 586.54$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 127 | 35.4%45 W · 82 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Gustavo Ribeiro De Almeida | 13c | 549.13$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.09 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cf5…d9f2backed Mateus Alves | 69c | 359.24$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.68 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -8.0wins | -0.42per pick | 58cpaid | -76.4%equal weight | 30-0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x7210…f1f9backed Gustavo Ribeiro De Almeida | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.14per pick | 62cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed Gustavo Ribeiro De Almeida | 38c | 160$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.8 | 423 | 59.1%250 W · 173 L | +24.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Gustavo Ribeiro De Almeida | 32c | 159.99$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.2 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Mateus Alves | 73c | 113.17$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.26 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89b6…886ebacked Gustavo Ribeiro De Almeida | 29c | 102.42$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 176 | 60.2%106 W · 70 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Gustavo Ribeiro De Almeida | 32c | 88.52$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7629…ef05backed Mateus Alves | 69c | 72.68$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.68 | 372 | 62.9%234 W · 138 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Gustavo Ribeiro De Almeida | 31c | 63.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.74 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Mateus Alves | 79c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1621…572cbacked Mateus Alves | 68c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.8 | 472 | 52.1%246 W · 226 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x036a…14acbacked Mateus Alves | 69c | 36.23$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.23 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Gustavo Ribeiro De Almeida | 32c | 36.18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.58 | 1,831 | 53%971 W · 860 L | -45.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d10…b3d0backed Mateus Alves | 66c | 34.24$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.53 | 821 | 59.4%488 W · 333 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f50…1701backed Gustavo Ribeiro De Almeida | 34c | 32.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.32 | 96 | 56.3%54 W · 42 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7de8…10ffbacked Mateus Alves | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | -5.5wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x12d1…cac5backed Mateus Alves | 68c | 22.06$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.06 | 116 | 53.4%62 W · 54 L | -6.1wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa530…88f6backed Mateus Alves | 72c | 14.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 74cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.