TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Cincinnati Open: Maria Timofeeva vs Xiyu Wang

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Xiyu Wangof Maria Timofeeva, Xiyu Wang
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$152,589
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$155,961

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $152,589 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc4c7…68f0backed Maria Timofeeva2c84,684$2,059 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,059.41040%4 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick35cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Maria Timofeeva23c7,980$1,799 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,798.5794140.6%382 W · 559 L-31.1wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-23.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c3c…e8c9backed Xiyu Wang68c7,353$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,352.9414152.5%74 W · 67 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Xiyu Wang79c5,980$4,751 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,228.798,24145.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L+166.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x565c…878dbacked Maria Timofeeva10c5,162$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50011129.7%33 W · 78 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4699…5051backed Maria Timofeeva6c4,806$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.119757.9%77 W · 898 L-20.3wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-28.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a8e…05a4backed Maria Timofeeva1c4,770$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.45966.1%39 W · 20 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Xiyu Wang68c4,000$2,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,30010252%53 W · 49 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Maria Timofeeva32c3,966$1,273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,273.0411,66643.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L+22.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Maria Timofeeva33c3,094$1,016 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,016.126,65250.7%3,373 W · 3,279 L+263.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x51e1…5ec9backed Maria Timofeeva4c2,500$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9544018.9%83 W · 357 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick18cpaid-7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b11…5375backed Xiyu Wang66c2,000$1,312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$688.2319948.7%97 W · 102 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4890…03f1backed Maria Timofeeva7c1,500$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1109916.2%16 W · 83 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick17cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8fe…211ebacked Maria Timofeeva7c1,474$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001118.2%2 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick21cpaid+21.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed Maria Timofeeva30c1,220$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365.9836838.3%141 W · 227 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Maria Timofeeva3c1,077$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.311,51224.1%364 W · 1,148 L-41.1wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-23.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd9dd…b525backed Maria Timofeeva12c1,000$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12025843.8%113 W · 145 L+12.2wins+0.05per pick39cpaid-2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1fb7…fb66backed Maria Timofeeva12c889.78$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.7756244.1%248 W · 314 L-21.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-18.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Maria Timofeeva7c755.63$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.895,00941.4%2,075 W · 2,934 L-82.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Xiyu Wang76c600.95$456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.885,42256.3%3,054 W · 2,368 L+231.5wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3da8…be26backed Maria Timofeeva12c466.07$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.1371045.4%322 W · 388 L-13.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Maria Timofeeva21c459.37$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.752,83947.2%1,340 W · 1,499 L+38.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Xiyu Wang80c439$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.921,00857.7%582 W · 426 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc98f…a13fbacked Maria Timofeeva3c429.51$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.8921317.4%37 W · 176 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick18cpaid+4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Maria Timofeeva33c396.85$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.4195050.1%476 W · 474 L-10.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Xiyu Wang63c394.2$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.851,10252.2%575 W · 527 L-7.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1747…4afcbacked Maria Timofeeva34c321.61$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.3225451.6%131 W · 123 L+1.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Xiyu Wang67c300$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.3953847%253 W · 285 L-20.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Xiyu Wang73c290$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.294,60267.8%3,119 W · 1,483 L+309.9wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4093…5749backed Maria Timofeeva34c287.75$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.162,86849.5%1,419 W · 1,449 L+23.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Xiyu Wang65c275.87$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.339,37444.3%4,154 W · 5,220 L-244.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Maria Timofeeva31c224$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.447,18349.7%3,568 W · 3,615 L+112.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x40e9…494fbacked Maria Timofeeva6c213.86$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.8156926%148 W · 421 L-23.2wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-41.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6435…e868backed Maria Timofeeva7c209.37$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.661020%2 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick18cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6318…46b1backed Maria Timofeeva28c178.84$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505,32528.8%1,533 W · 3,792 L-21.8wins0.00per pick29cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe954…1ef1backed Maria Timofeeva31c166.45$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.610749.5%53 W · 54 L-0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d6d…f2b4backed Xiyu Wang69c144.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.9348258.1%280 W · 202 L-13.3wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Xiyu Wang71c134.9$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.074,34152.3%2,271 W · 2,070 L+63.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed Xiyu Wang78c120.91$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.8642546.4%197 W · 228 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-12.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb720…da75backed Xiyu Wang64c118.28$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4241664.4%268 W · 148 L+22.3wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+8.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xaf76…ffeabacked Xiyu Wang67c117$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.6235329.7%105 W · 248 L-34.8wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-33.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x571f…1d37backed Maria Timofeeva32c114.16$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.831,07654.8%590 W · 486 L+14.6wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Xiyu Wang79c103.72$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.9789741.7%374 W · 523 L-9.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe481…d138backed Maria Timofeeva36c102.37$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.0228442.3%120 W · 164 L-0.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Maria Timofeeva37c102.14$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.7153343%229 W · 304 L-10.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Xiyu Wang69c100$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312,04347.8%977 W · 1,066 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcfaa…28f7backed Maria Timofeeva38c100$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3895445.5%434 W · 520 L+22.7wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Xiyu Wang75c99$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.754,76049.6%2,361 W · 2,399 L+176.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x24ce…da46backed Maria Timofeeva34c93.91$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.9347148.2%227 W · 244 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x125a…df71backed Xiyu Wang62c92.07$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.991,06650.1%534 W · 532 L+48.9wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbfdd…e70ebacked Xiyu Wang62c80$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.41764.7%11 W · 6 L+2.8wins+0.16per pick48cpaid+42.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Maria Timofeeva31c78.9$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.4678536.1%283 W · 502 L+36.6wins+0.05per pick31cpaid+15.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked Xiyu Wang79c76.67$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.41,87853.2%1,000 W · 878 L+30.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf768…7831backed Maria Timofeeva36c68.38$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.6978957.8%456 W · 333 L+56.2wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+8.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0f17…0724backed Maria Timofeeva34c56.58$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.2474654.8%409 W · 337 L+46.0wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdcbb…07d9backed Xiyu Wang67c53.99$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.8223556.6%133 W · 102 L-6.9wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa0d3…5b5ebacked Xiyu Wang65c50$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.53946.2%18 W · 21 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-20.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4108…a80dbacked Xiyu Wang65c50$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.57541.3%31 W · 44 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0868…efe8backed Xiyu Wang71c49$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.448236.6%30 W · 52 L-5.5wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-32.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6d10…b3d0backed Xiyu Wang63c44.22$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.4782659.3%490 W · 336 L+3.3wins0.00per pick59cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe392…d868backed Xiyu Wang79c41.97$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.6218459.8%110 W · 74 L+8.0wins+0.04per pick55cpaid-4.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Xiyu Wang66c41$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.9435132.2%113 W · 238 L-10.1wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-15.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5275…9379backed Xiyu Wang75c37$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.133435.3%12 W · 22 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-23.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f98…cb91backed Xiyu Wang66c35$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.955236.5%19 W · 33 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Xiyu Wang75c33.84$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.461,96043.8%858 W · 1,102 L-20.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf970…f7f6backed Maria Timofeeva31c33$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.232,52836.2%914 W · 1,614 L-26.1wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe332…d5e9backed Maria Timofeeva32c31.25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102568%17 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick64cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x58db…6901backed Maria Timofeeva32c31.25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1011247.3%53 W · 59 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Xiyu Wang62c30.61$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.593,98745.5%1,816 W · 2,171 L-34.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe7b2…9980backed Xiyu Wang69c29.99$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.322843.9%100 W · 128 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa639…7426backed Xiyu Wang69c28.99$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.9913964.7%90 W · 49 L0.0wins0.00per pick65cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Xiyu Wang68c26.56$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.52,44451.3%1,254 W · 1,190 L+14.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39f6…c6efbacked Xiyu Wang76c26$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.2426640.6%108 W · 158 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb9a9…68b6backed Xiyu Wang61c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.816653.6%89 W · 77 L+8.1wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+9.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5ac2…4fd8backed Xiyu Wang64c18.75$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.755959.3%35 W · 24 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f41…5ffcbacked Xiyu Wang70c17.91$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.2910751.4%55 W · 52 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-10.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc5ea…42e8backed Xiyu Wang67c17.67$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.8990459.5%538 W · 366 L+0.9wins0.00per pick59cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ddd…73b2backed Xiyu Wang67c16.16$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.3226151.7%135 W · 126 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2ee3…2e6abacked Xiyu Wang66c16$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.4429945.8%137 W · 162 L+20.6wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+21.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.