CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: B8 (-1.5) vs MIBR (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x51e497b4b28fb70d3f4bb425ff310b85c2dcce6d828854e2522f0fe9e1e13c76
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- MIBRof B8, MIBR
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,850
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,916
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,850 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7645…3117backed MIBR | 70c | 5,000$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,499.99 | 716 | 45.9%329 W · 387 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3c…38d3backed B8 | 30c | 2,665$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.54 | 242 | 33.9%82 W · 160 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd02a…4771backed B8 | 30c | 2,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 192 | 45.8%88 W · 104 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41f7…60cfbacked B8 | 30c | 2,000$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590 | 80 | 38.8%31 W · 49 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed MIBR | 70c | 1,701$1,191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.35 | 602 | 48.7%293 W · 309 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked MIBR | 69c | 1,660$1,153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x876b…d4a1backed MIBR | 71c | 1,299$927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.9 | 104 | 52.9%55 W · 49 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed B8 | 30c | 1,171$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.72 | 446 | 48.4%216 W · 230 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x623d…3aeebacked B8 | 30c | 886.67$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266 | 101 | 37.6%38 W · 63 L | -6.4wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed B8 | 25c | 775.79$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.2 | 854 | 46.4%396 W · 458 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07f9…1513backed B8 | 31c | 613$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.03 | 443 | 43.3%192 W · 251 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18f3…0c20backed MIBR | 70c | 500$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 261 | 55.2%144 W · 117 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed B8 | 30c | 468.1$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.43 | 195 | 43.6%85 W · 110 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed B8 | 30c | 399.99$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 576 | 41.1%237 W · 339 L | -21.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf061…a9aabacked B8 | 30c | 366.83$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.05 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d9…5333backed MIBR | 71c | 333.46$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.99 | 132 | 53.8%71 W · 61 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed MIBR | 70c | 313.41$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.79 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked B8 | 28c | 297.26$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.23 | 919 | 45.8%421 W · 498 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f93…bffabacked MIBR | 71c | 279.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.88 | 789 | 63.8%503 W · 286 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0336…4bb0backed B8 | 30c | 274.03$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.21 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddc…9c0fbacked B8 | 30c | 214.32$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.3 | 290 | 44.8%130 W · 160 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed MIBR | 70c | 200$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 991 | 48.3%479 W · 512 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdec9…b8abbacked MIBR | 70c | 200$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 206 | 43.7%90 W · 116 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed B8 | 29c | 175.49$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.82 | 219 | 45.7%100 W · 119 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d12…12c0backed B8 | 32c | 169.69$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.3 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2b…d422backed B8 | 27c | 137.44$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.11 | 191 | 52.9%101 W · 90 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e31…0e6ebacked MIBR | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 446 | 75.3%336 W · 110 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked MIBR | 76c | 129.14$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.69 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6983…88c3backed B8 | 30c | 110.41$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.12 | 144 | 43.1%62 W · 82 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x786c…dd20backed B8 | 31c | 96.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 219 | 42.5%93 W · 126 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed B8 | 31c | 79$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.49 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4e…417cbacked B8 | 31c | 63.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.62 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed MIBR | 70c | 59.59$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.78 | 500 | 51.4%257 W · 243 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9147…baccbacked B8 | 30c | 58.97$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.69 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfb6…67edbacked B8 | 33c | 57$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.81 | 152 | 46.7%71 W · 81 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe947…b01fbacked MIBR | 72c | 49.27$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe584…9bb3backed MIBR | 72c | 37.96$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.63 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked B8 | 31c | 32.26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 305 | 45.9%140 W · 165 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6919…da67backed MIBR | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 387 | 54.8%212 W · 175 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1788…aa80backed MIBR | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 29 | 75.9%22 W · 7 L | +5.1wins | +0.18per pick | 58cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc263…1e83backed MIBR | 70c | 26.21$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.86 | 347 | 50.7%176 W · 171 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82a5…674ebacked MIBR | 72c | 25.21$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.06 | 274 | 52.2%143 W · 131 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfce8…2686backed MIBR | 72c | 22.22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.22 | 239 | 63.2%151 W · 88 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bed…fd9cbacked MIBR | 72c | 20.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.83 | 206 | 56.8%117 W · 89 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed MIBR | 69c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 500 | 56.6%283 W · 217 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: B8 (-1.5) vs MIBR (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2B8 won
- Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 - Map 1 WinnerMIBR won
- Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 - Map 2 WinnerB8 won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: B8 (-3.5) vs MIBR (+3.5)MIBR won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: B8 (-3.5) vs MIBR (+3.5)MIBR won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map 3 Rounds Handicap: B8 (-3.5) vs MIBR (+3.5)B8 won
- Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.