CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x37cdb8b5183ea2845826e5080fcdaedef94d2af9e705b85964076b0e9cb624db
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,307
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,116
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,307 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x41f7…60cfbacked Under | 28c | 852.62$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.07 | 80 | 38.8%31 W · 49 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x180c…cd04backed Over | 48c | 522.14$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.51 | 448 | 39.1%175 W · 273 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Over | 73c | 515.07$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.63 | 1,360 | 66.3%901 W · 459 L | +75.4wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb6…50fcbacked Under | 52c | 510.42$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.42 | 140 | 44.3%62 W · 78 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 47c | 470.35$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.29 | 7,892 | 50.5%3,983 W · 3,909 L | +182.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Under | 51c | 451.6$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.31 | 882 | 42.3%373 W · 509 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7964…f585backed Over | 49c | 304.98$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.98 | 157 | 58%91 W · 66 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…f4a4backed Over | 49c | 303.79$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.12 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Under | 51c | 299.99$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf561…f20dbacked Over | 76c | 263.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.37 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x109f…1691backed Under | 53c | 250$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.5 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -5.0wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd1…ae72backed Under | 51c | 156.86$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 288 | 52.1%150 W · 138 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a1e…c023backed Over | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 181 | 48.6%88 W · 93 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 50c | 88.23$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.02 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x372a…eb59backed Under | 37c | 80.41$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +3.9wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +21%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad8…5004backed Over | 49c | 71.08$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.25 | 143 | 44.1%63 W · 80 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Under | 50c | 70$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 258 | 48.8%126 W · 132 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Over | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.19 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75f3…0e78backed Over | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 285 | 41.1%117 W · 168 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb2a…e923backed Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b10…89b6backed Over | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.17 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f21…8af5backed Over | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 90 | 56.7%51 W · 39 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90a7…5ac0backed Under | 51c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 225 | 46.7%105 W · 120 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x252f…2561backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 564 | 54.3%306 W · 258 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2245…1efabacked Over | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a40…007abacked Over | 73c | 33.74$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.15 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb3…4d75backed Over | 45c | 32.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf8b…ba19backed Over | 49c | 30.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.47 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66da…69b0backed Over | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 278 | 42.4%118 W · 160 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a55…3072backed Over | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c94…1b47backed Under | 54c | 24.07$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 81 | 60.5%49 W · 32 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94c0…a805backed Over | 75c | 19.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.95 | 119 | 58.8%70 W · 49 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2B8 won
- Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 - Map 1 WinnerMIBR won
- Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 - Map 2 WinnerB8 won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: B8 (-3.5) vs MIBR (+3.5)MIBR won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: B8 (-3.5) vs MIBR (+3.5)MIBR won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map 3 Rounds Handicap: B8 (-3.5) vs MIBR (+3.5)B8 won
- Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map Handicap: B8 (-1.5) vs MIBR (+1.5)MIBR won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.