CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: MASONIC vs ex-Zero Tenacity - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4838845e96cdd02c745008c9874d7483ab10caf82ae2b358d51289d4bfc658c4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ex-Zero Tenacityof MASONIC, ex-Zero Tenacity
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,458
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,458 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8405…8501backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 63c | 3,312$2,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,222.6 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.24per pick | 59cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x567e…e8fbbacked MASONIC | 34c | 2,447$827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$826.94 | 219 | 39.7%87 W · 132 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked MASONIC | 50c | 1,850$919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$919.39 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked MASONIC | 36c | 1,797$639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.34 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b6…c7dbbacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 48c | 1,332$639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$692.64 | 362 | 53.3%193 W · 169 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3db4…d69bbacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 750 | 56.8%426 W · 324 L | +47.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed MASONIC | 42c | 842.06$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.06 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x861f…a189backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 49c | 676.25$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.93 | 921 | 52.6%484 W · 437 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 56c | 640.33$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.41 | 807 | 44.6%360 W · 447 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed MASONIC | 31c | 615.59$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.86 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…1639backed MASONIC | 4c | 581.03$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.66 | 120 | 38.3%46 W · 74 L | -12.0wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4687…8d42backed MASONIC | 61c | 411.15$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.61 | 529 | 47.1%249 W · 280 L | -14.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb69f…d51cbacked MASONIC | 18c | 409.89$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.78 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 72c | 397.17$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.97 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed MASONIC | 28c | 256.94$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.57 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked MASONIC | 18c | 233.15$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.67 | 1,181 | 22.5%266 W · 915 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed MASONIC | 39c | 167.62$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.66 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x21f5…c161backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked MASONIC | 62c | 150.23$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.59 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed MASONIC | 51c | 119$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.2 | 529 | 51.4%272 W · 257 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc55…a069backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 75c | 114.6$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.52 | 98 | 52%51 W · 47 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked MASONIC | 53c | 90.2$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf104…d34cbacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 50c | 82.33$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.17 | 110 | 37.3%41 W · 69 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x793c…22b6backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 73c | 75$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.25 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -3.7wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeca1…57e4backed MASONIC | 61c | 74.36$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.36 | 134 | 36.6%49 W · 85 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa073…a3babacked MASONIC | 68c | 72.5$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.3 | 1,117 | 68.6%766 W · 351 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88b1…81b5backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf0…b95dbacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 187 | 51.3%96 W · 91 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe980…57c9backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 50c | 54$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa62c…a3c1backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 49c | 52.12$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.52 | 106 | 51.9%55 W · 51 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2cd2…1f27backed MASONIC | 59c | 50.44$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 544 | 39.7%216 W · 328 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa64e…5d27backed MASONIC | 66c | 50.09$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.06 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 68cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02f4…4effbacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 63c | 47.41$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.41 | 59 | 62.7%37 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2583…ef16backed MASONIC | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c56…0615backed MASONIC | 55c | 36.39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 93 | 26.9%25 W · 68 L | -10.2wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed MASONIC | 55c | 30.98$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.9 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked MASONIC | 68c | 29.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 1,043 | 57.3%598 W · 445 L | +17.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dec…60c2backed MASONIC | 61c | 19.97$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.18 | 116 | 46.6%54 W · 62 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: MASONIC vs ex-Zero Tenacity - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: MASONIC vs ex-Zero Tenacity (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #19 Group Dex-Zero Tenacity won
- Counter-Strike: MASONIC vs ex-Zero Tenacity - Map 1 Winnerex-Zero Tenacity won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.