Ligue 1 · resolved market
RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. OGC Nice: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf14f5333722ab8bb774691bf181db681334a88b6df8f466974852aca46c30659
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,137
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,106
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,137 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked No | 1c | 1,200$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 28 | 7.1%2 W · 26 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 2cpaid | +346.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf21…be19backed Yes | 54c | 1,045$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.66 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0656…4d9bbacked No | 1c | 1,000$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 22 | 4.5%1 W · 21 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | +139.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked No | 8c | 800.99$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.74 | 44 | 20.5%9 W · 35 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Yes | 60c | 732$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.8 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e8…7c26backed No | 57c | 512.74$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xceb1…bd4fbacked No | 16c | 450$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 9cpaid | +971.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79fb…c230backed No | 16c | 450$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | +25%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe56…593abacked No | 16c | 449.99$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 15cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4155…fa41backed Yes | 73c | 448.78$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.96 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcd…445ebacked No | 16c | 407.14$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.14 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 26c | 382.23$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.08 | 117 | 25.6%30 W · 87 L | -9.7wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 40c | 297.26$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.17 | 873 | 44.3%387 W · 486 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed No | 36c | 267.11$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.16 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -4.4wins | -0.19per pick | 45cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce0…6599backed No | 12c | 260.22$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.23 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.22per pick | 14cpaid | +535.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 74c | 249.85$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.55 | 486 | 49%238 W · 248 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 53c | 231.94$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.9 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 41c | 215.45$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.6 | 593 | 48.4%287 W · 306 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0979…fc8abacked No | 16c | 200$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 18cpaid | -50%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2d…318bbacked No | 12c | 199.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 8cpaid | +330.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafc4…daa1backed No | 16c | 199.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 15cpaid | +282.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x373b…1107backed No | 42c | 196.99$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.73 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 46c | 190.47$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.65 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…d743backed Yes | 60c | 162.67$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.07 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed No | 47c | 157.59$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.35 | 80 | 58.8%47 W · 33 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 40c | 80$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.15 | 464 | 50.4%234 W · 230 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Yes | 53c | 79.99$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.6 | 240 | 51.7%124 W · 116 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked No | 77c | 49.52$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.13 | 124 | 48.4%60 W · 64 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked No | 42c | 45.96$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.3 | 96 | 57.3%55 W · 41 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5944…bd5bbacked Yes | 49c | 39.57$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.18 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Yes | 59c | 38.69$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.93 | 54 | 63%34 W · 20 L | +5.4wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa64e…5d27backed No | 45c | 36.4$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.38 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed No | 77c | 32.39$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.94 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0cf…8bcbbacked Yes | 61c | 32.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb5…bcacbacked Yes | 57c | 25.64$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2807…27d5backed Yes | 57c | 25.64$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.02 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6134…c8ccbacked Yes | 60c | 24.4$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.76 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x550d…f1ffbacked No | 71c | 21.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.33 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16fe…9496backed Yes | 56c | 21.42$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.42 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x491c…b765backed Yes | 60c | 19.52$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.81 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. OGC Nice: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. OGC Nice: O/U 1.5Over won
- RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. OGC Nice: O/U 2.5Over won
- RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. OGC Nice: O/U 3.5Over won
- RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. OGC Nice: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: RC Strasbourg Alsace (-1.5)RC Strasbourg Alsace won
- Spread: RC Strasbourg Alsace (-2.5)OGC Nice won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.