South American Leagues · resolved market
Instituto AC Córdoba vs. CSyD Defensa y Justicia: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaeb0f99cc97f582d66eec475f7eddc5b6b6ccad6cad7ee5040c3b0d39fae0e8a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,832
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,741
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,832 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 50c | 1,896$942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$941.89 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Over | 66c | 1,788$1,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$607.77 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 40c | 1,374$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.95 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8b0…7b16backed Over | 54c | 1,308$706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601.75 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 58c | 737.59$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.17 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 34c | 663.66$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.95 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…720fbacked Under | 31c | 576.22$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.63 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -3.4wins | -0.31per pick | 58cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 51c | 451.65$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.54 | 166 | 56%93 W · 73 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5976…7f3fbacked Over | 50c | 434.76$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.49 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +3.8wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3622…083dbacked Over | 38c | 410.71$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.68 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a83…9c87backed Over | 52c | 408.27$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd871…6bbabacked Over | 48c | 290.64$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.13 | 129 | 40.3%52 W · 77 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed62…6f83backed Over | 42c | 202.71$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.57 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 58c | 178.2$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.86 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9030…4a23backed Over | 71c | 157.77$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.75 | 16 | 87.5%14 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.15per pick | 73cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…da9ebacked Under | 35c | 99.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 98 | 31.6%31 W · 67 L | -11.2wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 65c | 98.42$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.45 | 836 | 42.9%359 W · 477 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 60c | 97.6$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.04 | 769 | 51.5%396 W · 373 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x622e…1a89backed Over | 71c | 96.88$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.09 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3baa…68ecbacked Under | 36c | 93.49$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.66 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Over | 53c | 79.98$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.59 | 489 | 22.9%112 W · 377 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 34c | 72.75$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.74 | 278 | 55.4%154 W · 124 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1513…831abacked Under | 41c | 71.21$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.04 | 104 | 65.4%68 W · 36 L | +6.6wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 48c | 65.86$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.61 | 235 | 51.5%121 W · 114 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 34c | 62.08$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.14 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2baf…8023backed Over | 66c | 48$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.37 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6859…f7c2backed Over | 59c | 41.33$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.95 | 64 | 57.8%37 W · 27 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0a…50adbacked Over | 45c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb17…32b2backed Under | 47c | 36.79$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.29 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 50c | 32.51$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.26 | 404 | 51.2%207 W · 197 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2119…9303backed Over | 65c | 30.12$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 48c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf9…1646backed Over | 66c | 23.18$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.88 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97b2…1c44backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +4.4wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +22%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa64e…5d27backed Over | 71c | 19.97$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.79 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…e568backed Over | 66c | 19.3$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.56 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Instituto AC Córdoba vs. CSyD Defensa y Justicia: O/U 1.5this page
- Instituto AC Córdoba vs. CSyD Defensa y Justicia: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Instituto AC Córdoba vs. CSyD Defensa y Justicia: O/U 2.5Under won
- Instituto AC Córdoba vs. CSyD Defensa y Justicia: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: CSyD Defensa y Justicia (-1.5)Instituto AC Córdoba won
- Spread: CSyD Defensa y Justicia (-2.5)Instituto AC Córdoba won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.