South American Leagues · resolved market
Instituto AC Córdoba vs. CSyD Defensa y Justicia: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdf62193726990eb86cd124bfead966a9767ee7e237a0089210be346f7bcda7f1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,452
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,874
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,452 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xac47…d234backed Over | 38c | 14,315$5,424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,424.39 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 38c | 6,933$2,609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,608.74 | 147 | 27.2%40 W · 107 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 62c | 6,556$4,073 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,483.06 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 65c | 5,910$3,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,070.65 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 66c | 1,977$1,307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$669.49 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Under | 62c | 1,357$842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.79 | 429 | 62.2%267 W · 162 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed Under | 61c | 500$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 183 | 58.5%107 W · 76 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed Under | 61c | 500$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 288 | 51.7%149 W · 139 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed Under | 61c | 500$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 230 | 56.5%130 W · 100 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Under | 61c | 450$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.5 | 249 | 56.6%141 W · 108 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7299…31f3backed Over | 25c | 382$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.5 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ed…8bb4backed Under | 62c | 315.23$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.79 | 79 | 55.7%44 W · 35 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Over | 19c | 300$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 188 | 28.7%54 W · 134 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed Under | 61c | 300$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117 | 165 | 59.4%98 W · 67 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Under | 61c | 300$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117 | 158 | 57.6%91 W · 67 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked Under | 61c | 250$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.5 | 216 | 57.9%125 W · 91 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…6edbbacked Under | 61c | 250$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.5 | 203 | 60.6%123 W · 80 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa334…beaebacked Over | 39c | 247.03$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.34 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -5.2wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 45c | 214.89$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.7 | 166 | 56%93 W · 73 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Under | 62c | 156.54$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.79 | 188 | 59%111 W · 77 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Under | 62c | 156.54$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.79 | 178 | 57.3%102 W · 76 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 62c | 154.15$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.58 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 62c | 154.15$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.58 | 636 | 57.5%366 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 62c | 154.15$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.58 | 335 | 60.9%204 W · 131 L | +18.7wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Under | 62c | 154.15$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.58 | 367 | 57.5%211 W · 156 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked Under | 62c | 154.15$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.58 | 181 | 54.7%99 W · 82 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa42c…b22ebacked Under | 62c | 154.15$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.58 | 78 | 57.7%45 W · 33 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Under | 62c | 154.15$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.58 | 281 | 58.7%165 W · 116 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 62c | 154.15$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.58 | 477 | 56%267 W · 210 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under | 62c | 154.15$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.58 | 261 | 60.9%159 W · 102 L | +20.4wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Under | 62c | 154.15$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.58 | 167 | 59.9%100 W · 67 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Under | 62c | 154.15$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.58 | 412 | 56.6%233 W · 179 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed Under | 62c | 154.15$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.58 | 89 | 61.8%55 W · 34 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Under | 62c | 154.15$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.58 | 123 | 61.8%76 W · 47 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Under | 62c | 154.15$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.58 | 190 | 56.3%107 W · 83 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8acc…cc29backed Under | 61c | 150$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.5 | 134 | 65.7%88 W · 46 L | +13.1wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5bfe…0741backed Over | 38c | 144.15$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.74 | 80 | 47.5%38 W · 42 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc11…c87bbacked Under | 69c | 142.23$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.09 | 196 | 59.7%117 W · 79 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 63c | 125$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.05 | 235 | 51.5%121 W · 114 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Under | 62c | 123.32$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.86 | 166 | 53.6%89 W · 77 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x550d…f1ffbacked Under | 80c | 103.74$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.75 | 109 | 64.2%70 W · 39 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 38c | 96.28$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.59 | 836 | 42.9%359 W · 477 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…20bfbacked Under | 52c | 93.38$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.82 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 67c | 91.75$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.41 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x231f…254bbacked Under | 62c | 77.69$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.52 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…ff03backed Under | 62c | 63.05$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.96 | 122 | 59%72 W · 50 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked Under | 62c | 63.05$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.96 | 156 | 54.5%85 W · 71 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07d0…1310backed Under | 64c | 59.87$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.61 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1513…831abacked Under | 57c | 59.47$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.37 | 104 | 65.4%68 W · 36 L | +6.6wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 62c | 58.19$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.11 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Over | 33c | 56.62$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.62 | 489 | 22.9%112 W · 377 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8943…6c65backed Under | 64c | 52.6$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b6a…8aa7backed Under | 61c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe735…4198backed Under | 61c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5660…1707backed Under | 61c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x666b…d240backed Under | 61c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0577…02ccbacked Under | 61c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0e…c7a6backed Under | 65c | 48.95$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.13 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85ad…d3fbbacked Under | 62c | 31.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.98 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Under | 62c | 31.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.98 | 199 | 55.8%111 W · 88 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae02…7ed0backed Under | 62c | 31.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.98 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Under | 62c | 31.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.98 | 388 | 61.3%238 W · 150 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4eab…8859backed Under | 64c | 25.99$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.36 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Under | 61c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.75 | 194 | 60.3%117 W · 77 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under | 61c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.75 | 127 | 61.4%78 W · 49 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Under | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 179 | 60.3%108 W · 71 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Under | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 135 | 57%77 W · 58 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…f401backed Under | 64c | 18.35$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 59cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Under | 62c | 16.14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.13 | 200 | 59.5%119 W · 81 L | +11.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 69c | 15.26$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.73 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf84…d933backed Under | 69c | 14.43$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Instituto AC Córdoba vs. CSyD Defensa y Justicia: O/U 2.5this page
- Instituto AC Córdoba vs. CSyD Defensa y Justicia: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Instituto AC Córdoba vs. CSyD Defensa y Justicia: O/U 1.5Over won
- Instituto AC Córdoba vs. CSyD Defensa y Justicia: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: CSyD Defensa y Justicia (-1.5)Instituto AC Córdoba won
- Spread: CSyD Defensa y Justicia (-2.5)Instituto AC Córdoba won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.