South American Leagues · resolved market
Club Santos Laguna vs. CF América: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x349114a432a4282543227eef8fe8eaa20bd590320b662899d40fc63d73105a02
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,022
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,661
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,022 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6204…0b06backed Over | 11c | 3,000$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 20c | 1,495$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.08 | 191 | 35.1%67 W · 124 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Over | 19c | 1,249$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.09 | 92 | 29.3%27 W · 65 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 18c | 392.37$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.88 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 18c | 376.16$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.17 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 15c | 336$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.84 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 19c | 249.99$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.5 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed Under | 46c | 244$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.16 | 85 | 54.1%46 W · 39 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xffea…5f0abacked Over | 40c | 209.33$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.78 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…3dc9backed Over | 55c | 193$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.15 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 55c | 192.97$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.7 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 73c | 192.67$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.2 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49ca…5944backed Over | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 77 | 63.6%49 W · 28 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Over | 12c | 162.58$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.51 | 489 | 22.9%112 W · 377 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 43c | 159.45$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.89 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 11c | 140.4$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.02 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 14c | 138.87$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.65 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7f…657ebacked Over | 26c | 136.07$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.3 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 38cpaid | +57.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed Over | 39c | 120$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.27 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f55…4213backed Over | 38c | 98.04$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.26 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +60.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed Over | 55c | 87$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.85 | 79 | 43%34 W · 45 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb239…80b4backed Over | 53c | 61.7$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.47 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -3.4wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Over | 18c | 59.97$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.09 | 246 | 54.9%135 W · 111 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 61c | 55.76$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 723 | 50.5%365 W · 358 L | -24.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 61c | 47.93$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.52 | 404 | 51.2%207 W · 197 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…cbcdbacked Under | 79c | 47.5$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.94 | 63 | 69.8%44 W · 19 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x22d2…82d7backed Under | 67c | 37$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.21 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked Under | 45c | 36$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9c…1700backed Under | 80c | 33.98$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.86 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +17%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…955bbacked Under | 64c | 25.63$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.13 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.38per pick | 45cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa64e…5d27backed Under | 73c | 25.23$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.76 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb17…32b2backed Under | 61c | 23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.98 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Club Santos Laguna vs. CF América: O/U 2.5this page
- Club Santos Laguna vs. CF América: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Club Santos Laguna vs. CF América: O/U 1.5Over won
- Club Santos Laguna vs. CF América: O/U 3.5Under won
- Club Santos Laguna vs. CF América: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: CF América (-1.5)Club Santos Laguna won
- Spread: Club Santos Laguna (-1.5)CF América won
- Spread: Club Santos Laguna (-2.5)CF América won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.