Asian League · resolved market
Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. NEOM SC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x60987ce5bcf33d3a2ec434675fda39a27bf6bcb697ece31934d9eb3a9cfdf27e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,196
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,196 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 54c | 4,644$2,508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,135.95 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Over | 23c | 1,249$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.77 | 57 | 29.8%17 W · 40 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -28%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Under | 23c | 1,093$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840.44 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2dc…b624backed Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 53c | 832.35$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.22 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed Over | 59c | 600$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c16…a5e3backed Over | 45c | 463.14$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.17 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 62c | 403.23$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c8f…d581backed Over | 29c | 336$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.38 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf680…2c59backed Over | 57c | 309.52$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 13c | 260.98$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.66 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 80c | 205.38$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164 | 138 | 55.8%77 W · 61 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x851e…7539backed Under | 18c | 184.27$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.1 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +241.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 46c | 169.99$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.2 | 114 | 41.2%47 W · 67 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbec3…22b6backed Over | 29c | 103.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 53c | 103.28$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.11 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaab8…a331backed Over | 48c | 99.6$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.81 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e3…0d1abacked Over | 37c | 99.1$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.67 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2c…9d16backed Over | 54c | 79.63$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 46 | 32.6%15 W · 31 L | -4.2wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 78c | 50$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 297 | 45.1%134 W · 163 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2463…f5b5backed Over | 61c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 83 | 59%49 W · 34 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Over | 47c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 84 | 48.8%41 W · 43 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc67b…dc73backed Over | 64c | 40$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +46%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa50…27d6backed Under | 40c | 33.05$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.83 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb18c…df51backed Over | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -4.6wins | -0.24per pick | 45cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…a643backed Under | 56c | 25.67$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.29 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.22per pick | 49cpaid | -56%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. NEOM SC: O/U 1.5this page
- Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. NEOM SC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. NEOM SC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. NEOM SC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Al Nassr Saudi Club (-1.5)NEOM SC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.