Asian League · resolved market
Spread: Al Nassr Saudi Club (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x26fdc6b726edba55bb4037da43eb233648e89bda31358d86eb6956bfdc7a776a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- NEOM SCof Al Nassr Saudi Club, NEOM SC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,350
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,350 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed NEOM SC | 48c | 2,080$998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,081.6 | 196 | 33.2%65 W · 131 L | -11.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed NEOM SC | 62c | 1,336$831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.15 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a40…c93fbacked Al Nassr Saudi Club | 52c | 1,180$614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$613.6 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Al Nassr Saudi Club | 32c | 925$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296 | 57 | 29.8%17 W · 40 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -28%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d8…99aebacked Al Nassr Saudi Club | 49c | 338.88$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.05 | 72 | 63.9%46 W · 26 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Al Nassr Saudi Club | 52c | 150$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 121 | 47.9%58 W · 63 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Al Nassr Saudi Club | 52c | 150$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 106 | 50.9%54 W · 52 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Al Nassr Saudi Club | 52c | 125$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Al Nassr Saudi Club | 52c | 115$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.8 | 97 | 44.3%43 W · 54 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Al Nassr Saudi Club | 52c | 110$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.2 | 112 | 38.4%43 W · 69 L | -11.8wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed NEOM SC | 45c | 107$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.85 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb7…618ebacked Al Nassr Saudi Club | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 52cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…aa0fbacked Al Nassr Saudi Club | 52c | 60$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a2…004abacked Al Nassr Saudi Club | 52c | 60$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 75 | 53.3%40 W · 35 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46af…1f6abacked Al Nassr Saudi Club | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37fa…1136backed Al Nassr Saudi Club | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Al Nassr Saudi Club | 55c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 124 | 49.2%61 W · 63 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x778e…ccd1backed Al Nassr Saudi Club | 52c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked NEOM SC | 50c | 26.54$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.23 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked NEOM SC | 65c | 25.29$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.85 | 375 | 59.2%222 W · 153 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed Al Nassr Saudi Club | 52c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…c728backed Al Nassr Saudi Club | 52c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27de…9b6abacked NEOM SC | 46c | 23.91$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.91 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +52.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c93…0fb8backed NEOM SC | 69c | 23$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.13 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.7wins | -0.38per pick | 67cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Al Nassr Saudi Club (-1.5)this page
- Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. NEOM SC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. NEOM SC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. NEOM SC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. NEOM SC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.