South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Atlético San Luis win on 2026-02-28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x232c527789dc71e886a2a3cb1a0ec2565f458b4edde66d1718de04ec172b7d4a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,890
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,443
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,890 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd12c…f2d4backed No | 53c | 8,982$4,725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,256.17 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 51cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 60c | 5,685$3,398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,286.77 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 43c | 4,064$1,748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,747.51 | 517 | 49.9%258 W · 259 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes | 47c | 2,358$1,118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,117.51 | 378 | 51.3%194 W · 184 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 47c | 1,575$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$744.93 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69db…283abacked Yes | 43c | 1,525$653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$653 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 64c | 1,260$805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.24 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Yes | 36c | 1,251$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.83 | 99 | 25.3%25 W · 74 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa69a…3360backed Yes | 29c | 1,034$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 41 | 9.8%4 W · 37 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Yes | 49c | 956$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.46 | 127 | 36.2%46 W · 81 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 49c | 918.2$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.35 | 816 | 51.6%421 W · 395 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 71c | 758.53$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.56 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 47c | 756.34$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.71 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked Yes | 42c | 703.98$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.88 | 102 | 42.2%43 W · 59 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 47c | 600$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282 | 398 | 53%211 W · 187 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 62c | 538.49$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.12 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc049…7cf6backed Yes | 41c | 487.8$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9055…12cebacked Yes | 38c | 400$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 94 | 28.7%27 W · 67 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed8f…5aa7backed No | 48c | 382$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.64 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +5.1wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 46c | 371$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.88 | 192 | 39.1%75 W · 117 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 41c | 370.72$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.79 | 137 | 39.4%54 W · 83 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 22c | 361.74$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.84 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x747b…9cb0backed Yes | 48c | 268.67$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.21 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc5…ee5abacked Yes | 16c | 252.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 181 | 40.3%73 W · 108 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed No | 63c | 246.06$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.23 | 297 | 47.1%140 W · 157 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 465 | 30.3%141 W · 324 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 184 | 33.2%61 W · 123 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 37c | 212.73$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.7 | 769 | 51.5%396 W · 373 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 59c | 183.73$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.67 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 54c | 152.44$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.09 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2246…e958backed No | 56c | 125$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1045…06c8backed Yes | 41c | 123.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.5 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 55c | 120.75$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.73 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d7a…5e09backed Yes | 39c | 114.35$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb3…843bbacked Yes | 34c | 109.99$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.4 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -33%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f02…12f5backed Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 160 | 41.3%66 W · 94 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0c…9db8backed Yes | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -3.7wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 51c | 77.8$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.93 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 270 | 31.5%85 W · 185 L | -12.2wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2062…6be2backed Yes | 41c | 73.17$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c89…526abacked Yes | 37c | 67.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 93 | 44.1%41 W · 52 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…2163backed Yes | 49c | 62.55$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 201 | 42.3%85 W · 116 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 32c | 61.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.64 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 53c | 60.74$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.55 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 58c | 58.99$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.65 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x876a…7e40backed Yes | 41c | 51.66$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.18 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfeca…f1adbacked Yes | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 33c | 44.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.69 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xff6b…c91abacked Yes | 30c | 43.33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…af56backed Yes | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae72…7437backed No | 71c | 40.52$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7e…850abacked Yes | 49c | 33.24$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.29 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb495…7c65backed Yes | 39c | 31.54$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e1c…a9a5backed Yes | 49c | 30.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa566…72debacked No | 65c | 30.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb456…1774backed Yes | 36c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed No | 64c | 29.25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.45 | 235 | 42.1%99 W · 136 L | -13.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 59c | 28.61$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…38ccbacked Yes | 41c | 26.37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.81 | 69 | 63.8%44 W · 25 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x320f…1420backed Yes | 46c | 24.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.27 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0644…05debacked No | 53c | 21.8$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.25 | 135 | 48.9%66 W · 69 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 51c | 20.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.29 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Atlético San Luis win on 2026-02-28?this page
- Will Atlético San Luis vs. Club Puebla end in a draw?No won
- Will Club Puebla win on 2026-02-28?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.