Tennis · resolved market
ITF Rome, USA: Bella Payne vs Christasha McNeil
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8684c618e0f3b6031341178d47898e41d01f4d92985c638241c8b6e64c520f22
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bella Payneof Bella Payne, Christasha McNeil
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,746
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,188
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,746 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Christasha McNeil | 52c | 1,070$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.66 | 6,574 | 46.2%3,037 W · 3,537 L | -45.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Christasha McNeil | 49c | 988.99$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.42 | 5,498 | 48.5%2,667 W · 2,831 L | +10.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Bella Payne | 50c | 842.28$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.19 | 6,512 | 54.5%3,546 W · 2,966 L | +289.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Bella Payne | 50c | 337$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.31 | 727 | 55.6%404 W · 323 L | +27.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed Bella Payne | 45c | 323.35$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.4 | 960 | 35.4%340 W · 620 L | -40.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Bella Payne | 46c | 235.45$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.33 | 1,880 | 48.5%912 W · 968 L | +8.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Christasha McNeil | 52c | 233.8$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.73 | 8,702 | 42.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L | -165.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Bella Payne | 50c | 227.2$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.82 | 1,234 | 46.3%571 W · 663 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Christasha McNeil | 52c | 219.86$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.94 | 4,650 | 48.2%2,242 W · 2,408 L | +31.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Bella Payne | 49c | 104.46$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.78 | 753 | 50.5%380 W · 373 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Christasha McNeil | 46c | 92$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.4 | 1,349 | 49.8%672 W · 677 L | -6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Christasha McNeil | 39c | 90$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.72 | 739 | 51.7%382 W · 357 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Bella Payne | 53c | 80$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.6 | 1,456 | 45.1%656 W · 800 L | +42.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x189e…5aaebacked Bella Payne | 49c | 79$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.49 | 273 | 53.1%145 W · 128 L | +12.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed Bella Payne | 49c | 74.65$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.11 | 435 | 52.9%230 W · 205 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6b…ec86backed Bella Payne | 41c | 70.73$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.73 | 1,062 | 31.8%338 W · 724 L | -27.2wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64ec…931dbacked Bella Payne | 43c | 69.77$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.77 | 440 | 36.8%162 W · 278 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +11%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Bella Payne | 53c | 60.96$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.65 | 7,968 | 50.7%4,038 W · 3,930 L | +92.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Christasha McNeil | 31c | 60.49$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.73 | 4,474 | 51.7%2,311 W · 2,163 L | +133.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Christasha McNeil | 51c | 59.16$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.88 | 1,772 | 52.1%923 W · 849 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…50bcbacked Bella Payne | 44c | 58.87$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.13 | 405 | 50.6%205 W · 200 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9935…a6b4backed Christasha McNeil | 34c | 52.76$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.96 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Bella Payne | 54c | 47.59$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.89 | 1,144 | 47.2%540 W · 604 L | +64.7wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Christasha McNeil | 46c | 47$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.45 | 2,089 | 52.2%1,090 W · 999 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f3…d6dcbacked Christasha McNeil | 29c | 43.25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.54 | 870 | 60.2%524 W · 346 L | +28.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Bella Payne | 39c | 27.56$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.86 | 1,960 | 43.8%858 W · 1,102 L | -20.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Bella Payne | 70c | 25.36$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.49 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xfeca…f1adbacked Christasha McNeil | 80c | 23.9$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Bella Payne | 76c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.29 | 1,730 | 52.2%903 W · 827 L | -8.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.