Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Oklahoma Sooners vs. LSU Tigers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x98277b56241d74cb6a2f298972a3a5ad4b2d42c48afbc8627769939c9c8042e8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Oklahoma Soonersof Oklahoma Sooners, LSU Tigers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,380
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,875
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,380 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Oklahoma Sooners | 75c | 3,683$2,774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$908.47 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked LSU Tigers | 28c | 1,723$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.64 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked LSU Tigers | 55c | 1,600$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$879.98 | 488 | 55.1%269 W · 219 L | +17.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Oklahoma Sooners | 58c | 1,336$777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.94 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked LSU Tigers | 40c | 1,204$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.76 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Oklahoma Sooners | 51c | 1,046$534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.1 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3817…7d10backed LSU Tigers | 55c | 957.51$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.5 | 298 | 45.3%135 W · 163 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Oklahoma Sooners | 54c | 714.92$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.79 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5271…0f95backed Oklahoma Sooners | 45c | 497.86$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.31 | 67 | 40.3%27 W · 40 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed LSU Tigers | 8c | 441.39$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.41 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Oklahoma Sooners | 69c | 287.16$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.72 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed LSU Tigers | 45c | 279.5$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.61 | 709 | 36.1%256 W · 453 L | -27.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked LSU Tigers | 59c | 221.92$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.93 | 493 | 45.4%224 W · 269 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…4b03backed LSU Tigers | 46c | 215.5$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked LSU Tigers | 33c | 137.19$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.27 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked LSU Tigers | 55c | 102.21$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.67 | 248 | 57.3%142 W · 106 L | +13.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Oklahoma Sooners | 47c | 101.93$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.05 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed LSU Tigers | 33c | 81.86$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.65 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed Oklahoma Sooners | 72c | 81.52$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.79 | 932 | 47.3%441 W · 491 L | -22.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed LSU Tigers | 54c | 63.68$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.7 | 1,446 | 43.4%627 W · 819 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed LSU Tigers | 28c | 59.87$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.47 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Oklahoma Sooners | 39c | 48.37$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.51 | 621 | 40.4%251 W · 370 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfeca…f1adbacked Oklahoma Sooners | 41c | 48.37$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7817…d4b1backed LSU Tigers | 30c | 47.79$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed LSU Tigers | 42c | 46.5$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.44 | 815 | 28.8%235 W · 580 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47cb…dfdabacked Oklahoma Sooners | 47c | 38.15$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.31 | 365 | 35.9%131 W · 234 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked LSU Tigers | 56c | 37.71$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.12 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02f4…4effbacked Oklahoma Sooners | 45c | 33.04$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.17 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c21…12bdbacked Oklahoma Sooners | 45c | 32.34$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.79 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x96f1…b6d8backed Oklahoma Sooners | 78c | 31.74$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.89 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf158…aa4bbacked Oklahoma Sooners | 48c | 30.05$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.67 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed Oklahoma Sooners | 64c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 144 | 61.8%89 W · 55 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf6…147abacked LSU Tigers | 55c | 27.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b9c…da16backed LSU Tigers | 53c | 21.61$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.43 | 150 | 66%99 W · 51 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked LSU Tigers | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.73 | 334 | 45.8%153 W · 181 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.