South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CSyD Defensa y Justicia win on 2026-03-01?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x317e470163657b9716aec07504352bf2cdfb1288ba6df5712c6ec0c41bd83239
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,263
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,828
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,263 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed No | 56c | 10,154$5,649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,505.64 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes | 45c | 9,000$4,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,050 | 165 | 43.6%72 W · 93 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed Yes | 57c | 1,757$1,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,009.71 | 286 | 51.7%148 W · 138 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Yes | 37c | 1,271$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.07 | 80 | 26.3%21 W · 59 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc57…f5f4backed Yes | 41c | 1,099$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 66c | 971.43$644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.4 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 62c | 859.96$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.29 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 41c | 838.03$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.61 | 992 | 59.1%586 W · 406 L | +108.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 41c | 731.77$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.74 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 40c | 707.09$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.1 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Yes | 11c | 545.45$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 118 | 19.5%23 W · 95 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 64c | 367.31$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.88 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9055…12cebacked Yes | 40c | 300$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 94 | 28.7%27 W · 67 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc75c…86d0backed Yes | 44c | 283.86$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.9 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f02…12f5backed Yes | 18c | 277.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 160 | 41.3%66 W · 94 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 40c | 183.05$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.36 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 60c | 150.35$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.84 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 79c | 111.67$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.64 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 23c | 100.79$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.42 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44b6…98b4backed Yes | 70c | 100$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | -6.8wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7c16…c36fbacked Yes | 12c | 99.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | +3.6wins | +0.12per pick | 22cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Yes | 62c | 88$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.44 | 174 | 36.2%63 W · 111 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 60c | 87.31$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.92 | 675 | 48%324 W · 351 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed No | 79c | 86.81$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.35 | 297 | 47.1%140 W · 157 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcc…031ebacked No | 57c | 86.21$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.07 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -3.1wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa209…d90ebacked No | 46c | 63.44$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.26 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd776…4fb8backed Yes | 26c | 57.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Yes | 66c | 50$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.18 | 175 | 42.3%74 W · 101 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe579…ba5ebacked No | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 30c | 49.82$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.74 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 48c | 41.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.37 | 274 | 42%115 W · 159 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 34c | 39.94$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.48 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc0d…d900backed Yes | 44c | 34.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x703a…8f98backed Yes | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.28per pick | 38cpaid | +91.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 58c | 25.77$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.7 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfeca…f1adbacked No | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe84…54ddbacked No | 78c | 22.6$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.87 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +59.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed3f…2d57backed No | 58c | 22.17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.31 | 114 | 61.4%70 W · 44 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb9…489cbacked No | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CSyD Defensa y Justicia win on 2026-03-01?this page
- Will CA Lanús win on 2026-03-01?No won
- Will CSyD Defensa y Justicia vs. CA Lanús end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.