Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd00d6a0f5d2ccb8848b147f25cb7ea11d201d78cc8fcc5809bf77812d702d218
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Spiritof Team Spirit, Team Falcons
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $137,713
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $156,415
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $137,713 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 134 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked Team Falcons | 66c | 21,658$14,229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,229.1 | 551 | 57%314 W · 237 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…33d1backed Team Falcons | 66c | 20,000$13,169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,169.19 | 426 | 50%213 W · 213 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Team Spirit | 22c | 10,852$2,426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,426.25 | 656 | 25.6%168 W · 488 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f9…bff5backed Team Spirit | 42c | 7,591$3,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,392.97 | 209 | 49.3%103 W · 106 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Team Spirit | 47c | 7,044$3,313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,731 | 666 | 62.2%414 W · 252 L | +60.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb555…0c4bbacked Team Spirit | 39c | 7,031$2,758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,272.9 | 103 | 42.7%44 W · 59 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Team Spirit | 16c | 6,284$992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,291.68 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Team Spirit | 28c | 5,746$1,615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,130.87 | 328 | 54.9%180 W · 148 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82f9…6910backed Team Falcons | 63c | 5,000$3,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,150 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Team Spirit | 36c | 4,997$1,804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,192.73 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Team Spirit | 41c | 3,661$1,504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,157.09 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc42f…9390backed Team Spirit | 41c | 3,388$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,988.37 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Team Spirit | 39c | 3,250$1,252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,997.59 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Team Spirit | 34c | 3,233$1,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,134.11 | 255 | 49%125 W · 130 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Team Spirit | 34c | 2,941$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,941.18 | 340 | 51.5%175 W · 165 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Team Spirit | 39c | 2,736$1,069 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,666.85 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb4…00eabacked Team Spirit | 40c | 2,500$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 59 | 64.4%38 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3265…d5b8backed Team Spirit | 14c | 2,487$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,134.08 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed Team Spirit | 37c | 2,330$853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,476.64 | 130 | 45.4%59 W · 71 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Team Spirit | 29c | 2,002$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,416.07 | 804 | 43.9%353 W · 451 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Team Spirit | 30c | 1,965$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,384.65 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Team Spirit | 22c | 1,508$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,182 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31b5…6128backed Team Falcons | 65c | 1,500$975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$974.99 | 180 | 75%135 W · 45 L | +18.8wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x74ef…1ac6backed Team Falcons | 67c | 1,493$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 476 | 60.7%289 W · 187 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Team Spirit | 35c | 1,439$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$936.44 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a06…31d8backed Team Spirit | 79c | 1,385$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.24 | 416 | 55.3%230 W · 186 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Team Falcons | 20c | 1,378$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.82 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…5df2backed Team Falcons | 65c | 1,230$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.5 | 95 | 57.9%55 W · 40 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…16acbacked Team Spirit | 29c | 1,156$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$815.36 | 229 | 54.1%124 W · 105 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…5e7abacked Team Falcons | 65c | 1,147$744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$744.08 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -3.2wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked Team Spirit | 35c | 909$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590.85 | 368 | 51.6%190 W · 178 L | +25.7wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Team Falcons | 23c | 869.57$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 338 | 50.9%172 W · 166 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd43…88d7backed Team Spirit | 39c | 859.86$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.86 | 103 | 34%35 W · 68 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe203…1b53backed Team Spirit | 35c | 799.99$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.99 | 108 | 50%54 W · 54 L | +8.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Team Falcons | 64c | 738.15$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.87 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…32b1backed Team Spirit | 28c | 620$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.4 | 312 | 45.8%143 W · 169 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f04…5fc4backed Team Falcons | 62c | 600$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372 | 315 | 45.4%143 W · 172 L | -19.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed Team Spirit | 40c | 500$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbec5…8f77backed Team Spirit | 23c | 500$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385 | 78 | 35.9%28 W · 50 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed Team Falcons | 67c | 442.67$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.84 | 647 | 44.4%287 W · 360 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x503d…886abacked Team Falcons | 47c | 423.13$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.8 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3260…85ddbacked Team Falcons | 39c | 366.75$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.92 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | +7.9wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6d96…d524backed Team Falcons | 69c | 364.96$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 269 | 57.6%155 W · 114 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f03…7551backed Team Spirit | 42c | 357.25$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.25 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1318…0af2backed Team Spirit | 29c | 333$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.43 | 176 | 33.5%59 W · 117 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…5176backed Team Spirit | 29c | 322.86$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.86 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | -6.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3b63…4acdbacked Team Spirit | 34c | 308$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.28 | 162 | 48.8%79 W · 83 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed Team Falcons | 65c | 305.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Team Spirit | 33c | 302.23$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.49 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd679…9ccfbacked Team Spirit | 35c | 300$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 140 | 58.6%82 W · 58 L | +11.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xac5d…d45fbacked Team Spirit | 24c | 299.99$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.99 | 95 | 35.8%34 W · 61 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…46c2backed Team Spirit | 39c | 270$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.7 | 360 | 54.4%196 W · 164 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9db8…2effbacked Team Spirit | 34c | 262.37$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.37 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88ad…9e5fbacked Team Spirit | 14c | 208$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.88 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 43cpaid | +204.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe64b…3499backed Team Falcons | 66c | 200$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86e0…c394backed Team Falcons | 61c | 200$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 807 | 42.6%344 W · 463 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a28…41edbacked Team Spirit | 36c | 199.5$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.68 | 213 | 50.7%108 W · 105 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9120…ae70backed Team Spirit | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.57 | 210 | 62.4%131 W · 79 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa474…32cbbacked Team Spirit | 35c | 173.73$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.93 | 538 | 44.4%239 W · 299 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3787…57aebacked Team Falcons | 77c | 160.26$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3568…c765backed Team Spirit | 35c | 155$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.75 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -27%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe99e…0084backed Team Falcons | 66c | 150.45$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 876 | 45.7%400 W · 476 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Team Spirit | 40c | 149.99$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 592 | 50.5%299 W · 293 L | -20.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc3e…776bbacked Team Falcons | 60c | 139.19$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.52 | 192 | 51.6%99 W · 93 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fc2…64d1backed Team Spirit | 24c | 137.5$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.5 | 110 | 43.6%48 W · 62 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x127a…3344backed Team Spirit | 23c | 130$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.4 | 136 | 55.9%76 W · 60 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…951cbacked Team Spirit | 72c | 126.32$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 49 | 73.5%36 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 70cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Team Spirit | 34c | 121.76$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.36 | 336 | 45.5%153 W · 183 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9e0…ce22backed Team Spirit | 26c | 120.61$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.78 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…2a08backed Team Spirit | 34c | 115$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.9 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed Team Falcons | 56c | 110$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.7 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef35…c333backed Team Spirit | 42c | 109.76$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.66 | 74 | 60.8%45 W · 29 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fd1…344fbacked Team Spirit | 20c | 109$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.2 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.32per pick | 52cpaid | +94.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x41cc…adc7backed Team Falcons | 56c | 107.13$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab05…52e9backed Team Spirit | 66c | 106.61$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.58 | 174 | 48.9%85 W · 89 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1532…1dadbacked Team Falcons | 57c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.5 | 226 | 54.4%123 W · 103 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa750…0d0fbacked Team Falcons | 62c | 100$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 377 | 54.9%207 W · 170 L | +20.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x02d7…0c39backed Team Spirit | 20c | 100$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 205 | 30.7%63 W · 142 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb759…ed73backed Team Falcons | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfc…4f30backed Team Spirit | 39c | 100$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 377 | 45.4%171 W · 206 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed Team Falcons | 64c | 99.99$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9718…dd82backed Team Falcons | 76c | 90.48$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.76 | 86 | 36%31 W · 55 L | -7.7wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xac93…0cfcbacked Team Falcons | 64c | 86.23$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 581 | 52.5%305 W · 276 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83d0…c927backed Team Falcons | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x48f7…3aebbacked Team Spirit | 59c | 80$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.6 | 668 | 48.5%324 W · 344 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe083…d643backed Team Spirit | 38c | 78.61$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.74 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x561d…94bebacked Team Falcons | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 62 | 66.1%41 W · 21 L | +6.4wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x62f9…ae42backed Team Falcons | 65c | 76.8$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.92 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb9…a8b3backed Team Falcons | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 595 | 56.6%337 W · 258 L | +12.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0e…eca9backed Team Falcons | 67c | 70.15$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9db0…0f6abacked Team Spirit | 19c | 70$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.62 | 30 | 3.3%1 W · 29 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 12cpaid | -82.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Team Spirit | 21c | 69.95$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.26 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | +12.2wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7bef…be32backed Team Spirit | 43c | 69.81$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.81 | 134 | 49.3%66 W · 68 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f5a…aca1backed Team Falcons | 65c | 68.54$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.55 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0386…2b1abacked Team Spirit | 24c | 62.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.5 | 305 | 43%131 W · 174 L | +18.2wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbc98…b902backed Team Falcons | 67c | 60.79$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.73 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40ba…7ea5backed Team Falcons | 67c | 60.59$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.6 | 537 | 57.7%310 W · 227 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Team Spirit | 24c | 60$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.6 | 479 | 51.8%248 W · 231 L | +17.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1f…aa39backed Team Falcons | 73c | 59.69$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.57 | 450 | 61.6%277 W · 173 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b89…1069backed Team Spirit | 37c | 55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.87 | 156 | 53.8%84 W · 72 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Falcons - Game 1 WinnerTeam Falcons won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.