Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will HNK Rijeka win on 2026-02-19?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x503d1f6b3d049005df2d49a0618a0d755a7ef410907f83442d8d99696737b905
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,306
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,992
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,306 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 41c | 6,299$2,612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,612.39 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54f0…7a91backed Yes | 13c | 6,209$788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,421.27 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 22c | 2,050$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,598.99 | 260 | 22.3%58 W · 202 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes | 20c | 1,470$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,176.1 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x237e…a5f0backed Yes | 18c | 1,453$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,191.82 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | +5.3wins | +0.12per pick | 24cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 72c | 1,315$945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$945.23 | 769 | 41.9%322 W · 447 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 77c | 950.97$736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735.55 | 251 | 57%143 W · 108 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 11c | 656.45$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584.45 | 61 | 19.7%12 W · 49 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e85…443ebacked No | 76c | 499.99$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.99 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 12c | 365.01$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.21 | 449 | 52.6%236 W · 213 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23de…05c1backed Yes | 23c | 278$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +4.5wins | +0.30per pick | 37cpaid | +104.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Yes | 18c | 277.78$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.78 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 20cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88ad…9e5fbacked No | 30c | 276$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.8 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 70cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 74c | 229.16$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.29 | 276 | 44.9%124 W · 152 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed No | 22c | 228.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.94 | 179 | 41.9%75 W · 104 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked No | 22c | 227$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.94 | 100 | 61%61 W · 39 L | +8.3wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 146 | 41.1%60 W · 86 L | -14.7wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed No | 78c | 178.26$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.04 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -4.4wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 24c | 168$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.68 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 68c | 164.11$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.2 | 200 | 48%96 W · 104 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb648…c2ddbacked Yes | 19c | 157.89$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.89 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.22per pick | 49cpaid | +74.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0275…596dbacked Yes | 16c | 125$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa2…1973backed Yes | 10c | 110$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 81 | 30.9%25 W · 56 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Yes | 24c | 109$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.38 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3a…9993backed No | 77c | 106.45$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.5 | 66 | 56.1%37 W · 29 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1720…2e74backed Yes | 23c | 93.59$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.72 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked No | 79c | 85.81$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.64 | 172 | 49.4%85 W · 87 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98c5…dd3bbacked Yes | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.33 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 51c | 80$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 142 | 41.5%59 W · 83 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75ea…1616backed No | 77c | 76.62$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43a1…2425backed Yes | 21c | 56.17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.38 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd257…d215backed Yes | 21c | 52.38$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.38 | 99 | 20.2%20 W · 79 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02fa…547ebacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfea6…d837backed No | 27c | 49.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 13cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf788…6f86backed No | 78c | 38.46$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 91 | 64.8%59 W · 32 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 70cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce9a…002bbacked No | 76c | 32.8$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 66c | 30.29$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 377 | 50.9%192 W · 185 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 78c | 16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 880 | 48.2%424 W · 456 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1a…ff36backed Yes | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will HNK Rijeka win on 2026-02-19?this page
- Will AS Omónoia Leukosías vs. HNK Rijeka end in a draw?No won
- Will AS Omónoia Leukosías win on 2026-02-19?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.