Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Gil Vicente FC win on 2026-01-26?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4f9521609c91d0c7afa819421eb6bd5d5bad98cb1fea164356fcbef23cfafcb3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $85,871
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $90,762
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $85,871 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x33c9…76afbacked Yes | 9c | 4,662$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.54 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88ad…9e5fbacked Yes | 9c | 4,444$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.58 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 6c | 4,354$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.93 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 8c | 4,242$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.32 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 10c | 4,080$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.96 | 447 | 68%304 W · 143 L | +52.8wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Yes | 2c | 3,046$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.23 | 178 | 36.5%65 W · 113 L | -18.7wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -34%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 8c | 2,967$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.04 | 660 | 47.6%314 W · 346 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 10c | 2,901$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.32 | 396 | 37.1%147 W · 249 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb8…753bbacked Yes | 4c | 2,794$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 67 | 31.3%21 W · 46 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 10c | 1,900$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182 | 834 | 40.8%340 W · 494 L | -35.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 8c | 1,868$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.57 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6df9…e49ebacked Yes | 3c | 1,666$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.94 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 14cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f8a…cd17backed Yes | 9c | 1,030$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.6 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Yes | 8c | 978.09$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.3 | 134 | 32.1%43 W · 91 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +30%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 8c | 578$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.6 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb485…f560backed Yes | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ae…f407backed Yes | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 32 | 12.5%4 W · 28 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda12…1ad4backed Yes | 6c | 336.31$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.21 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Yes | 4c | 274.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.37 | 62 | 24.2%15 W · 47 L | -10.6wins | -0.17per pick | 41cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7c64…5e45backed Yes | 4c | 270.34$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.38 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e2c…6aaebacked Yes | 10c | 230.93$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.21 | 71 | 15.5%11 W · 60 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce4…da39backed Yes | 10c | 218$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.8 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6aa…8882backed Yes | 10c | 199.8$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 47 | 14.9%7 W · 40 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b3…0cd4backed Yes | 9c | 197.83$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.8 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7256…30c9backed Yes | 10c | 186.9$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.69 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes | 13c | 150$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 227 | 27.8%63 W · 164 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 9c | 148.89$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.79 | 570 | 19.8%113 W · 457 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5101…4a4fbacked Yes | 10c | 130$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.27per pick | 57cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 10c | 119.97$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 938 | 45.4%426 W · 512 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x585c…f0a7backed Yes | 9c | 113.65$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.23 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes | 10c | 108$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -5.4wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x92d6…0550backed Yes | 10c | 106$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 20cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4058…4c04backed Yes | 10c | 102$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdec2…b015backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea16…f145backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61a3…b1e5backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Gil Vicente FC win on 2026-01-26?this page
- Will FC Porto vs. Gil Vicente FC end in a draw?No won
- Will FC Porto win on 2026-01-26?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.