Asian League · resolved market
Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. Gimcheon Sangmu FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x14f0f756277c7bdedcca6ce327785e82a62f74a24f5591568d352729162606dc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,563
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,563 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0443…99cfbacked Over | 28c | 281$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.68 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88ad…9e5fbacked Over | 11c | 267$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.37 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -32%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47ce…e6eabacked Over | 28c | 264$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fed…cfa3backed Under | 72c | 262$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.36 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd27f…b3ddbacked Under | 72c | 261$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.08 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +79.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7256…b108backed Under | 72c | 237$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 9c | 227.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.45 | 377 | 62.3%235 W · 142 L | +60.7wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 9c | 227.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.45 | 399 | 61.9%247 W · 152 L | +57.7wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x2815…1cdbbacked Over | 28c | 226$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34b3…1c72backed Under | 76c | 222.59$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e46…43f0backed Over | 28c | 213$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x218f…0618backed Under | 72c | 195$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf007…02e9backed Over | 28c | 194.99$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 41cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf355…8cfdbacked Under | 72c | 190$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5416…828fbacked Over | 28c | 171$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x009f…32febacked Over | 28c | 165$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2973…e8ddbacked Under | 72c | 148$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefff…c0efbacked Under | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Over | 28c | 125.8$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 24c | 115.66$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.76 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1e5…c5dfbacked Over | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 12c | 93.92$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.93 | 706 | 52.3%369 W · 337 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Under | 72c | 49.4$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.83 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 72c | 45.45$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.73 | 225 | 55.1%124 W · 101 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. Gimcheon Sangmu FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. Gimcheon Sangmu FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. Gimcheon Sangmu FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. Gimcheon Sangmu FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. Gimcheon Sangmu FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.