Asian League · resolved market
Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. Gimcheon Sangmu FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2c4eab1513ed820337e120f8fe114e34627156a763cb779676ea40574928c3df
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,599
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,599 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 60c | 1,133$679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.13 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 44c | 671.87$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.5 | 144 | 29.2%42 W · 102 L | -8.8wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 67c | 647.47$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.96 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x092e…c685backed Over | 50c | 413.4$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.7 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.24per pick | 46cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f7…34a5backed Over | 48c | 379$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9e…0730backed Over | 48c | 370$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x070b…468fbacked Over | 48c | 333$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 40c | 300$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 163 | 50.9%83 W · 80 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d53bbacked Under | 52c | 276$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa871…bb73backed Under | 52c | 270$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…9466backed Over | 48c | 258$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bb…594dbacked Over | 48c | 227$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42fe…d6f4backed Under | 52c | 224$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0c4…0addbacked Over | 48c | 214$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.72 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0393…0769backed Under | 52c | 202$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 185 | 43.8%81 W · 104 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2109…55bfbacked Over | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.26per pick | 44cpaid | -64.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3ba0…09febacked Under | 52c | 199$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1151…9ce6backed Under | 52c | 174$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.52 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef82…f8c9backed Under | 52c | 165$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f9f…0ad9backed Under | 52c | 159$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 29c | 158.14$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.22 | 375 | 62.7%235 W · 140 L | +61.4wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 27c | 151.6$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.67 | 395 | 61.8%244 W · 151 L | +56.1wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5444…bbdabacked Under | 70c | 142.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.93 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.19per pick | 55cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbc17…f3c4backed Over | 38c | 139.99$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 50c | 139$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.5 | 225 | 55.1%124 W · 101 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b43…fae9backed Over | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb2…0912backed Under | 52c | 112$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.76 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +188.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 58c | 101.1$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.38 | 693 | 52.2%362 W · 331 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefff…c0efbacked Under | 52c | 96.73$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.73 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9796…9032backed Over | 50c | 87.96$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.98 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7299…31f3backed Over | 32c | 82.42$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 67 | 37.3%25 W · 42 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bea…038ebacked Over | 16c | 80.87$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.33 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 18cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1f…f5eabacked Over | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 64 | 31.3%20 W · 44 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb51f…b7dbbacked Under | 52c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3491…9dd9backed Under | 56c | 54.94$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…402abacked Over | 35c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 95 | 25.3%24 W · 71 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over | 41c | 34.95$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.33 | 375 | 59.2%222 W · 153 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Over | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Under | 68c | 19.29$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.21 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. Gimcheon Sangmu FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. Gimcheon Sangmu FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. Gimcheon Sangmu FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. Gimcheon Sangmu FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. Gimcheon Sangmu FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.