Other European Leagues · resolved market
Fortuna Sittard vs. SBV Excelsior: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x458c86aa20e2ccbede41fbbed77356bf2e089f676f9f113e81dc6de55fe32ff7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,541
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,576
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,541 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7197…14c8backed Over | 72c | 2,200$1,583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$616.9 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 29c | 1,271$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.15 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 26c | 1,217$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.05 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Under | 23c | 1,118$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.55 | 124 | 26.6%33 W · 91 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 79c | 632.91$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.91 | 316 | 61.7%195 W · 121 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…8cb5backed Under | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79fd…78cebacked Under | 37c | 452.26$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.34 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | -6.5wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -11%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x055c…4631backed Over | 53c | 411.54$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69dd…1964backed Over | 79c | 378.04$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.04 | 102 | 59.8%61 W · 41 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Under | 22c | 336.38$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 473 | 25.4%120 W · 353 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb3f…e8a6backed Over | 78c | 336.38$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 22c | 319.16$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.28 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 21c | 275.24$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.85 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc385…8eb0backed Over | 74c | 269.19$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.19 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -3.1wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | 0%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x172d…6f3ebacked Over | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 85 | 58.8%50 W · 35 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88ad…9e5fbacked Under | 29c | 193.98$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.25 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b9…8714backed Over | 68c | 189.93$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.38 | 18 | 88.9%16 W · 2 L | +3.7wins | +0.21per pick | 68cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x649a…02afbacked Over | 77c | 140$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.2 | 48 | 68.8%33 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 74cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x802f…e008backed Over | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 144 | 68.8%99 W · 45 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 21c | 125.5$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.36 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 24c | 125$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 23c | 105$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.15 | 670 | 50.6%339 W · 331 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x741c…bf80backed Under | 22c | 100.13$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.03 | 84 | 8.3%7 W · 77 L | -8.4wins | -0.10per pick | 18cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 398 | 50%199 W · 199 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbec3…760ebacked Over | 76c | 75.28$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5df7…29c5backed Over | 74c | 56$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.56 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa9…72dbbacked Over | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.72 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd71…6714backed Over | 78c | 51.28$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Under | 22c | 51$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 116 | 36.2%42 W · 74 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc770…8dbbbacked Over | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 230 | 61.3%141 W · 89 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2463…f5b5backed Over | 65c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 123 | 61%75 W · 48 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x522f…1415backed Over | 79c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 72cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12f9…74babacked Over | 77c | 46.29$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.65 | 79 | 69.6%55 W · 24 L | +9.0wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Over | 64c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.6 | 212 | 54.7%116 W · 96 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 33c | 35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 985 | 52.3%515 W · 470 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Over | 76c | 33.24$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.06 | 70 | 54.3%38 W · 32 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +17%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e3a…265ebacked Over | 74c | 28.82$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.49 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb71…434dbacked Over | 79c | 27$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.67 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Over | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 252 | 63.5%160 W · 92 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Over | 76c | 23.38$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Over | 78c | 17.39$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.78 | 138 | 42.8%59 W · 79 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38e9…736dbacked Over | 79c | 15.19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.19 | 48 | 64.6%31 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 72c | 14.34$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.01 | 598 | 55.5%332 W · 266 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Fortuna Sittard vs. SBV Excelsior: O/U 1.5this page
- Fortuna Sittard vs. SBV Excelsior: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Fortuna Sittard vs. SBV Excelsior: O/U 2.5Over won
- Fortuna Sittard vs. SBV Excelsior: O/U 3.5Under won
- Fortuna Sittard vs. SBV Excelsior: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.