Other European Leagues · resolved market
Fortuna Sittard vs. SBV Excelsior: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x62b70d5a2773bc8baa19a66e71461128337c0cb78bdc0fc89d6d18b7db79cd4f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,582
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,003
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,582 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 47c | 723.01$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.42 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4157…04f9backed Yes | 59c | 507.17$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.17 | 115 | 48.7%56 W · 59 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76ca…6a3abacked Yes | 60c | 374.5$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.8 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 37cpaid | -79.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed No | 42c | 339.73$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.53 | 124 | 26.6%33 W · 91 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked No | 40c | 279.99$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113 | 96 | 38.5%37 W · 59 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e46…e394backed Yes | 60c | 253.25$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.38 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 42c | 238.81$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.81 | 582 | 29.2%170 W · 412 L | -19.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 45c | 227.06$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.1 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe306…0380backed No | 6c | 212.77$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.77 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 41c | 195$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.95 | 435 | 46.7%203 W · 232 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69dd…1964backed Yes | 56c | 179.11$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.11 | 102 | 59.8%61 W · 41 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x802f…e008backed Yes | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 144 | 68.8%99 W · 45 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 42c | 143$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.21 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Yes | 59c | 101.95$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.95 | 266 | 53.4%142 W · 124 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 40c | 92.89$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.56 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked No | 39c | 81.75$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.88 | 206 | 32%66 W · 140 L | -17.5wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 41c | 60$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.3 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 58c | 58.08$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.48 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked No | 58c | 53.08$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.97 | 501 | 46.1%231 W · 270 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 33c | 45.58$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.32 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf672…c3c4backed Yes | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -6.0wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b7d…866bbacked Yes | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 90 | 70%63 W · 27 L | +8.1wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x98c5…dd3bbacked Yes | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x485d…fc8abacked Yes | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc770…8dbbbacked Yes | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 230 | 61.3%141 W · 89 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee45…e055backed Yes | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 109 | 62.4%68 W · 41 L | +6.6wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Fortuna Sittard vs. SBV Excelsior: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Fortuna Sittard vs. SBV Excelsior: O/U 1.5Over won
- Fortuna Sittard vs. SBV Excelsior: O/U 2.5Over won
- Fortuna Sittard vs. SBV Excelsior: O/U 3.5Under won
- Fortuna Sittard vs. SBV Excelsior: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.