NHL · resolved market
KHL: Lokomotiv Yaroslavl vs. Dinamo Minsk
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xac137dbc521662b9968e6f7af252da313cda1251a457e4304e61c36f2fbcda3f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lokomotiv Yaroslavlof Lokomotiv Yaroslavl, Dinamo Minsk
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,457
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,320
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,457 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Dinamo Minsk | 30c | 593.32$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178 | 288 | 47.2%136 W · 152 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b1…f737backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 58c | 345.27$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.27 | 284 | 47.9%136 W · 148 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 70c | 263.73$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.9 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Dinamo Minsk | 42c | 226.59$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.17 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Dinamo Minsk | 31c | 218$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.58 | 66 | 39.4%26 W · 40 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea6a…3ee2backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 35c | 210$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.5 | 524 | 51%267 W · 257 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Dinamo Minsk | 43c | 209.3$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 337 | 45.7%154 W · 183 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Dinamo Minsk | 42c | 197.02$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.82 | 865 | 49.1%425 W · 440 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Dinamo Minsk | 14c | 185.15$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.56 | 315 | 40.3%127 W · 188 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb4…ca9cbacked Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 70c | 164.29$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.29 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +81.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40f8…327dbacked Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 57c | 158.6$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.2 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88ad…9e5fbacked Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1566…44ffbacked Dinamo Minsk | 46c | 140$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40a2…19c9backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 58c | 135$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.19 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d3…6c86backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 58c | 73.5$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 70c | 68.92$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.68 | 1,028 | 53.2%547 W · 481 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 70c | 60$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 99 | 44.4%44 W · 55 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5769…7d11backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 45c | 49.48$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.21 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07a6…5638backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 74c | 39.83$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 91 | 68.1%62 W · 29 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ac…1afdbacked Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 71c | 37.58$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.06 | 177 | 65.5%116 W · 61 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabf6…129dbacked Dinamo Minsk | 42c | 33.21$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.95 | 110 | 50.9%56 W · 54 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…0876backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 57c | 33$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.19 | 56 | 71.4%40 W · 16 L | +10.5wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 69c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 153 | 68%104 W · 49 L | +11.6wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa6…ee30backed Dinamo Minsk | 44c | 27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3393…e6b3backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 56c | 27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 58c | 24.14$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.14 | 425 | 58.6%249 W · 176 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.