Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs summer bear (BO3) - European Pro League Group A
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x273e1f899c1630c98e9e44dfc3eed4cdfe370f0859c208272c7f3e480abe3aca
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Zero Tenacityof Zero Tenacity, summer bear
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,385
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,765
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,385 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3a95…343bbacked summer bear | 22c | 2,017$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.36 | 698 | 35.2%246 W · 452 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x787f…d40cbacked Zero Tenacity | 75c | 667$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.75 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…f8d8backed Zero Tenacity | 75c | 333$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.25 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked summer bear | 18c | 258.89$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.21 | 121 | 55.4%67 W · 54 L | +7.9wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +134.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8289…f84cbacked summer bear | 12c | 140$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 31cpaid | -84.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed summer bear | 21c | 138.06$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.99 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb41…111fbacked summer bear | 24c | 105.42$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdabd…6adabacked summer bear | 19c | 101.8$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.83 | 47 | 23.4%11 W · 36 L | -8.5wins | -0.18per pick | 42cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb1db…1619backed Zero Tenacity | 77c | 80.4$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.09 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa41c…79bfbacked summer bear | 37c | 71.19$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfef9…d6e9backed summer bear | 22c | 52.27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Zero Tenacity | 76c | 35.42$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.5 | 196 | 43.9%86 W · 110 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0800…ceb0backed Zero Tenacity | 76c | 35$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.55 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1d…2fb6backed Zero Tenacity | 77c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Zero Tenacity | 77c | 25.09$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.71 | 273 | 57.1%156 W · 117 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4420…5658backed Zero Tenacity | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 88 | 61.4%54 W · 34 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed Zero Tenacity | 78c | 23.82$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.17 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36d9…c3cabacked Zero Tenacity | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 441 | 49.4%218 W · 223 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88db…54a4backed Zero Tenacity | 76c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.6 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdabd…b09abacked Zero Tenacity | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs summer bear (BO3) - European Pro League Group Athis page
- Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs summer bear - Game 1 WinnerZero Tenacity won
- Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs summer bear - Game 2 WinnerZero Tenacity won
- Game 2: Any Player Rampage?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.