Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs summer bear - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x91a8c55249a81feec4e0f9ef633cd42620aad4bc345df7ff858063a95d0dc3fe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Zero Tenacityof Zero Tenacity, summer bear
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,679
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,528
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,679 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Zero Tenacity | 77c | 1,910$1,464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.9 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked summer bear | 24c | 1,841$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.86 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfab…f067backed Zero Tenacity | 76c | 1,578$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.96 | 480 | 57.1%274 W · 206 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked Zero Tenacity | 70c | 1,260$883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.5 | 798 | 59%471 W · 327 L | +16.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b26…6091backed summer bear | 28c | 1,059$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.23 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a95…343bbacked summer bear | 25c | 999.97$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.99 | 698 | 35.2%246 W · 452 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe3…ca9dbacked summer bear | 32c | 679.79$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.34 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1747…4afcbacked summer bear | 29c | 455.97$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.23 | 143 | 43.4%62 W · 81 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8e…ce7dbacked Zero Tenacity | 66c | 385.51$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.07 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dcb…50fcbacked Zero Tenacity | 72c | 300$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47bd…bc9dbacked Zero Tenacity | 76c | 270$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.8 | 410 | 55.6%228 W · 182 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07ed…041bbacked summer bear | 26c | 252.09$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 59 | 30.5%18 W · 41 L | -5.5wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf7…4b3abacked summer bear | 30c | 232.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.9 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked summer bear | 25c | 172.54$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.77 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed Zero Tenacity | 70c | 169.99$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.4 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddbd…bcb5backed summer bear | 30c | 133.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 140 | 30.7%43 W · 97 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed summer bear | 21c | 114.43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.6 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed Zero Tenacity | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked summer bear | 19c | 93.37$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.74 | 690 | 33.3%230 W · 460 L | -27.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd776…4fb8backed summer bear | 33c | 89.52$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.13 | 109 | 39.4%43 W · 66 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed summer bear | 28c | 71.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.81 | 1,260 | 49.7%626 W · 634 L | +21.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x969f…cbdcbacked summer bear | 23c | 61.16$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.09 | 149 | 43%64 W · 85 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdaee…8559backed Zero Tenacity | 75c | 60$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 183 | 56.8%104 W · 79 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed summer bear | 26c | 39.51$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.27 | 656 | 47.3%310 W · 346 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b90…08e7backed Zero Tenacity | 75c | 38.03$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.51 | 382 | 44.5%170 W · 212 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Zero Tenacity | 78c | 31.05$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.89 | 915 | 53.3%488 W · 427 L | +48.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9997…a2bcbacked Zero Tenacity | 72c | 31$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.68 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +56.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7028…66d1backed Zero Tenacity | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 122 | 58.2%71 W · 51 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad22…014abacked Zero Tenacity | 75c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 473 | 58.6%277 W · 196 L | +25.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs summer bear - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs summer bear (BO3) - European Pro League Group AZero Tenacity won
- Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs summer bear - Game 1 WinnerZero Tenacity won
- Game 2: Any Player Rampage?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.