Fifa International · resolved market
Brazil vs. Japan: Brazil O/U 4.5 Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x67e7b9de75ee23f988f494c27c2d1536dfb581825d81dff841ac875b41fc179b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,437
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,932
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,437 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x26eb…22d0backed Under | 39c | 759.11$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.66 | 291 | 54%157 W · 134 L | +21.1wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8d47…25c5backed Under | 38c | 409.83$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.74 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6463…e8fdbacked Over | 64c | 328.13$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.13 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc444…416cbacked Over | 57c | 324.98$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.74 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -15%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x912c…aa92backed Over | 65c | 306.7$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.7 | 73 | 74%54 W · 19 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 69cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x336a…1915backed Under | 33c | 260.61$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Under | 49c | 250$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 637 | 45.4%289 W · 348 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Under | 44c | 236.04$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.24 | 465 | 50.3%234 W · 231 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe8…1141backed Under | 33c | 219.09$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.3 | 261 | 55.2%144 W · 117 L | +13.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Under | 42c | 216.16$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.82 | 362 | 50%181 W · 181 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa245…2152backed Over | 57c | 200.92$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.54 | 58 | 67.2%39 W · 19 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2810…a1a8backed Over | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 68 | 35.3%24 W · 44 L | -6.9wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb185…48c1backed Over | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Under | 39c | 189.13$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.76 | 858 | 51.2%439 W · 419 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 42c | 175.86$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.86 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57d8…a490backed Over | 58c | 172.95$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.95 | 205 | 39%80 W · 125 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6882…6f08backed Over | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 224 | 66.1%148 W · 76 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc07…5ccabacked Over | 59c | 168.81$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.81 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb795…1a30backed Over | 59c | 135.38$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.38 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | -5.2wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Over | 63c | 117.76$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.16 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf95e…1816backed Over | 56c | 116.74$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.74 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 60c | 107.64$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.2 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Over | 57c | 90.42$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.88 | 778 | 45%350 W · 428 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 55c | 89.9$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.02 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 41c | 88.7$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.14 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 42c | 74$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.08 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Over | 62c | 58.72$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.15 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03f5…3047backed Over | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 96 | 69.8%67 W · 29 L | +10.3wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c3…a6e8backed Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3d…a3b8backed Over | 60c | 49.41$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.52 | 50 | 76%38 W · 12 L | +6.3wins | +0.13per pick | 63cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd687…a024backed Under | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked Over | 63c | 40.47$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.13 | 1,475 | 44.9%663 W · 812 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6216…1bd4backed Under | 45c | 39.98$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.99 | 237 | 41.8%99 W · 138 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa146…6163backed Over | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 288 | 50.3%145 W · 143 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f9…84f7backed Under | 50c | 30.6$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 82 | 59.8%49 W · 33 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Over | 61c | 27.54$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.84 | 1,293 | 53.6%693 W · 600 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…f273backed Over | 61c | 26.38$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.39 | 180 | 53.3%96 W · 84 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e01…7ef0backed Under | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 379 | 71.2%270 W · 109 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d10…b3d0backed Under | 50c | 20.4$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.13per pick | 68cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe2…f54abacked Over | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 129 | 55.8%72 W · 57 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93e9…4d47backed Over | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 101 | 65.3%66 W · 35 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Brazil vs. Japan: Brazil O/U 4.5 Cornersthis page
- Brazil vs. Japan: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersOver won
- Brazil vs. Japan: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Brazil vs. Japan: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Brazil vs. Japan: 2nd Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersOver won
- Brazil vs. Japan: 2nd Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Brazil vs. Japan: 2nd Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Brazil vs. Japan: Brazil O/U 3.5 CornersOver won
- Brazil vs. Japan: Brazil O/U 5.5 CornersOver won
- Brazil vs. Japan: Brazil O/U 6.5 CornersUnder won
- Brazil vs. Japan: Japan O/U 2.5 CornersUnder won
- Brazil vs. Japan: Japan O/U 3.5 CornersUnder won
- Brazil vs. Japan: Japan O/U 4.5 CornersUnder won
- Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 10.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 11.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 12.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 6.5 Total CornersOver won
- Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 7.5 Total CornersOver won
- Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 8.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 9.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Brazil vs. Japan: Team to Take First CornerBrazil won
- Brazil vs. Japan: Total Corners Odd or Even?Even won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.