Fifa International · resolved market
Brazil vs. Japan: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x64ba77649ff37e11d13fb36264b206c2f98a3a1f42b635ed46a1d404acdaeec6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,863
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,090
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,863 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Under | 58c | 1,776$1,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$745.75 | 858 | 51.2%439 W · 419 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Over | 42c | 999.98$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.99 | 706 | 48.2%340 W · 366 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75b0…7db2backed Under | 57c | 614.04$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.04 | 104 | 51.9%54 W · 50 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 42c | 578.1$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.8 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 43c | 520.41$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.77 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 42c | 520$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.4 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b20…8eafbacked Over | 40c | 400$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 62 | 54.8%34 W · 28 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22a0…6702backed Under | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.83 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked Over | 38c | 289.3$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.29 | 1,475 | 44.9%663 W · 812 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Under | 57c | 262.67$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.95 | 232 | 51.7%120 W · 112 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb6…a2cdbacked Under | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 97 | 46.4%45 W · 52 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0cb…419fbacked Under | 60c | 167.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.41 | 137 | 42.3%58 W · 79 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11f5…ea34backed Over | 37c | 162.16$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 222 | 42.3%94 W · 128 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 64c | 144.08$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.31 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 39c | 114.79$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.28 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9516…0bcbbacked Over | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 562 | 40.6%228 W · 334 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked Over | 41c | 100.74$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.69 | 559 | 42.4%237 W · 322 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d44…1d7cbacked Over | 43c | 93.02$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37d9…5442backed Over | 37c | 89.19$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 314 | 35.7%112 W · 202 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdec4…046fbacked Over | 37c | 70.27$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 345 | 26.1%90 W · 255 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ecc…415abacked Over | 37c | 67.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 287 | 47%135 W · 152 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3131…a35dbacked Under | 61c | 65.57$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.57 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Over | 37c | 63.49$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.49 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9720…76b9backed Under | 63c | 63.49$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.49 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6216…1bd4backed Over | 35c | 60$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 237 | 41.8%99 W · 138 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 40c | 59.7$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.88 | 1,559 | 52.4%817 W · 742 L | +97.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1506…e79ebacked Over | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 200 | 49%98 W · 102 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6926…152dbacked Over | 50c | 40.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 270 | 51.9%140 W · 130 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b77…2d2bbacked Over | 43c | 34.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed Over | 40c | 29.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.15 | 866 | 56.4%488 W · 378 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa484…524cbacked Over | 35c | 29.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 54 | 31.5%17 W · 37 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe267…eb96backed Under | 65c | 27.69$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.69 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | -5.1wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51dd…8294backed Under | 65c | 26.15$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.15 | 94 | 55.3%52 W · 42 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe15…c560backed Under | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Brazil vs. Japan: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total Cornersthis page
- Brazil vs. Japan: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersOver won
- Brazil vs. Japan: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Brazil vs. Japan: 2nd Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersOver won
- Brazil vs. Japan: 2nd Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Brazil vs. Japan: 2nd Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Brazil vs. Japan: Brazil O/U 3.5 CornersOver won
- Brazil vs. Japan: Brazil O/U 4.5 CornersOver won
- Brazil vs. Japan: Brazil O/U 5.5 CornersOver won
- Brazil vs. Japan: Brazil O/U 6.5 CornersUnder won
- Brazil vs. Japan: Japan O/U 2.5 CornersUnder won
- Brazil vs. Japan: Japan O/U 3.5 CornersUnder won
- Brazil vs. Japan: Japan O/U 4.5 CornersUnder won
- Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 10.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 11.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 12.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 6.5 Total CornersOver won
- Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 7.5 Total CornersOver won
- Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 8.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 9.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Brazil vs. Japan: Team to Take First CornerBrazil won
- Brazil vs. Japan: Total Corners Odd or Even?Even won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.