Brazil vs. Japan: Japan O/U 3.5 Corners

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x65bde49d592ec528c65ea1954ee99c576165afde8a104deb5ea01e14931afe61

Rebuilt 4 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Jun 29, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $25,616
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $25,666

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,616 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xdd5e…9040backed Over	48c	6,663$3,176 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,176.31	2,171	38.2%829 W · 1,342 L	-36.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over	46c	4,049$1,869 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,869.28	2,307	37.6%867 W · 1,440 L	-16.7wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Under	50c	1,781$890 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$890.49	617	50.6%312 W · 305 L	+4.4wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked Under	48c	1,481$711 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$770.18	362	47.2%171 W · 191 L	+6.3wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x99d7…6435backed Under	55c	1,466$806 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$659.49	858	51.2%439 W · 419 L	+15.0wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over	49c	1,308$643 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$642.89	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x24d4…4e1dbacked Under	54c	1,111$600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$511.11	97	41.2%40 W · 57 L	-5.3wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9f15…bdb3backed Under	52c	987.25$515 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$472.18	465	50.3%234 W · 231 L	+5.1wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbe8…1141backed Under	54c	818.7$442 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$376.6	261	55.2%144 W · 117 L	+13.8wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Under	50c	803.24$402 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$401.62	765	51.6%395 W · 370 L	+4.2wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe086…0450backed Over	49c	735$363 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$362.6	320	44.1%141 W · 179 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under	54c	659.78$355 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$304.53	1,559	52.4%817 W · 742 L	+97.8wins	+0.06per pick	46cpaid	+14.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over	44c	546.06$241 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$240.94	2,804	46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L	-27.1wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5cb5…7ce9backed Under	65c	500$323 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$176.57	55	63.6%35 W · 20 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	62cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c25…c3bebacked Over	51c	500$255 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$255	706	48.2%340 W · 366 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa76e…dcb6backed Under	50c	500$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$250	232	51.7%120 W · 112 L	+2.2wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under	52c	490.88$255 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$235.88	3,077	47%1,447 W · 1,630 L	-11.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe84a…02febacked Over	46c	488.11$225 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$224.53	120	56.7%68 W · 52 L	+10.2wins	+0.08per pick	48cpaid	+25.3%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over	40c	485.9$194 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$193.88	1,492	41%612 W · 880 L	-1.7wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under	52c	431.44$226 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$205.69	3,213	47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L	-7.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x12c4…ff8cbacked Over	52c	398.31$207 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$207.12	146	55.5%81 W · 65 L	+8.3wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+7%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x38c4…7c65backed Under	54c	324.99$175 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$149.49	241	48.1%116 W · 125 L	-1.1wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Under	52c	308$160 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$147.84	379	59.1%224 W · 155 L	+20.5wins	+0.05per pick	54cpaid	+12%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc0f8…ae2ebacked Under	42c	252.92$107 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$145.71	518	59.8%310 W · 208 L	+26.7wins	+0.05per pick	55cpaid	+21.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Over	50c	250$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125	206	38.8%80 W · 126 L	-4.6wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x87fe…3cbebacked Over	46c	250$115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$115	72	47.2%34 W · 38 L	+4.1wins	+0.06per pick	41cpaid	+15.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x403c…7f06backed Over	48c	250$121 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$121.03	331	54.4%180 W · 151 L	+25.9wins	+0.08per pick	47cpaid	+13.2%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5de7…5417backed Under	54c	249.99$135 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$115	149	49.7%74 W · 75 L	+10.3wins	+0.07per pick	43cpaid	+22.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked Under	55c	246.58$137 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$109.73	637	45.4%289 W · 348 L	-2.2wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Under	60c	226.2$137 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$89.53	340	56.5%192 W · 148 L	+9.6wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Under	64c	221$141 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$79.56	260	47.3%123 W · 137 L	+8.1wins	+0.03per pick	44cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xab9f…75f1backed Over	35c	216.44$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.69	261	46%120 W · 141 L	-1.1wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over	48c	197.9$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.4	3,286	49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L	+6.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf66e…14b7backed Under	58c	196$114 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$82.09	770	51.3%395 W · 375 L	+29.1wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa23f…7f29backed Over	42c	194$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81.03	157	45.9%72 W · 85 L	+4.0wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe3e0…708fbacked Under	55c	173$95 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$77.85	48	58.3%28 W · 20 L	+3.4wins	+0.07per pick	51cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8afa…28f0backed Under	56c	152.87$86 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66.8	374	58.8%220 W · 154 L	+18.9wins	+0.05per pick	54cpaid	+10.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Over	45c	125.82$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.62	1,204	48.9%589 W · 615 L	+18.2wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x271e…f001backed Over	47c	118.25$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.58	123	44.7%55 W · 68 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed Under	57c	113.22$65 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.41	791	49.2%389 W · 402 L	+28.2wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x57d8…a490backed Over	46c	108.7$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	205	39%80 W · 125 L	-8.8wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x24ae…d35bbacked Over	34c	99.99$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34	164	27.4%45 W · 119 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	29cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c68…d4ffbacked Over	45c	97.78$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44	20	45%9 W · 11 L	-0.8wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x09da…50bcbacked Under	55c	94.53$52 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.14	455	48.6%221 W · 234 L	+10.5wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	-1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x189e…5aaebacked Under	57c	89$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.14	415	51.8%215 W · 200 L	+21.6wins	+0.05per pick	47cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7a3f…6712backed Over	40c	85.82$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.74	607	52.4%318 W · 289 L	+21.6wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x24ae…4c80backed Over	46c	85$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.4	148	56.8%84 W · 64 L	+20.7wins	+0.14per pick	43cpaid	+59.5%equal weight	63+0.12 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Over	47c	82.43$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.79	1,795	44.2%794 W · 1,001 L	-12.9wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-13%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8138…80acbacked Under	55c	81.82$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.82	135	28.1%38 W · 97 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	+27%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Under	53c	80$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.6	2,576	46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L	+35.9wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x760b…6dc8backed Over	60c	76.76$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.8	102	52.9%54 W · 48 L	-3.0wins	-0.03per pick	56cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under	41c	72.53$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.85	4,027	38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L	-26.6wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc730…c568backed Under	50c	70.03$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.03	660	56.8%375 W · 285 L	+34.2wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+10.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8e79…9076backed Over	46c	65.22$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	413	39%161 W · 252 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc593…ea8cbacked Under	58c	65$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.38	373	52.5%196 W · 177 L	+16.2wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf9f1…23eebacked Over	47c	60$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.2	559	42.4%237 W · 322 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbbc8…4f5bbacked Over	34c	58$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.65	152	52.6%80 W · 72 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2bf3…4f00backed Under	59c	57.71$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.87	480	55.2%265 W · 215 L	+12.2wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x11fc…8262backed Over	57c	50$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.5	86	53.5%46 W · 40 L	+2.0wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+32%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked Over	46c	50$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.8	1,306	44.7%584 W · 722 L	-9.6wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Over	43c	46.38$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.94	722	47.2%341 W · 381 L	+4.3wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c34…266dbacked Under	54c	45.82$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.22	256	55.1%141 W · 115 L	-10.9wins	-0.04per pick	59cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xba56…140dbacked Under	57c	44$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.85	59	61%36 W · 23 L	+8.6wins	+0.15per pick	46cpaid	+36.1%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x0dd8…1a9bbacked Over	51c	43.14$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	48	52.1%25 W · 23 L	-2.9wins	-0.06per pick	58cpaid	-16.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbff7…554fbacked Under	50c	43$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.29	209	68.4%143 W · 66 L	+21.5wins	+0.10per pick	58cpaid	+14.6%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xdb5f…c11cbacked Over	47c	42.4$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	16	56.3%9 W · 7 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	57cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x47c9…2038backed Under	66c	40.48$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.61	149	55%82 W · 67 L	+13.9wins	+0.09per pick	46cpaid	+21.1%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe83a…8355backed Under	59c	40.34$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.34	318	53.1%169 W · 149 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked Under	50c	40$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20	259	48.6%126 W · 133 L	-4.5wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8fb5…0542backed Under	57c	39$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.65	8	50%4 W · 4 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x349e…867bbacked Under	49c	26.04$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.28	305	47.2%144 W · 161 L	+2.9wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x360a…376fbacked Under	54c	24.99$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.5	29	62.1%18 W · 11 L	+1.8wins	+0.06per pick	56cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x63c1…07d5backed Under	52c	19.27$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.25	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.48per pick	52cpaid	+92.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2abe…6e2dbacked Under	60c	16.77$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.69	72	54.2%39 W · 33 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	-3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Brazil vs. Japan: Japan O/U 3.5 Cornersthis page
Brazil vs. Japan: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersOver won
Brazil vs. Japan: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersUnder won
Brazil vs. Japan: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
Brazil vs. Japan: 2nd Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersOver won
Brazil vs. Japan: 2nd Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersUnder won
Brazil vs. Japan: 2nd Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
Brazil vs. Japan: Brazil O/U 3.5 CornersOver won
Brazil vs. Japan: Brazil O/U 4.5 CornersOver won
Brazil vs. Japan: Brazil O/U 5.5 CornersOver won
Brazil vs. Japan: Brazil O/U 6.5 CornersUnder won
Brazil vs. Japan: Japan O/U 2.5 CornersUnder won
Brazil vs. Japan: Japan O/U 4.5 CornersUnder won
Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 10.5 Total CornersUnder won
Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 11.5 Total CornersUnder won
Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 12.5 Total CornersUnder won
Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 6.5 Total CornersOver won
Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 7.5 Total CornersOver won
Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 8.5 Total CornersUnder won
Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 9.5 Total CornersUnder won
Brazil vs. Japan: Team to Take First CornerBrazil won
Brazil vs. Japan: Total Corners Odd or Even?Even won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Brazil vs. Japan: Japan O/U 3.5 Corners

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event