TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Mls · resolved market

Will FC Dallas win on 2026-08-16?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$114,844
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$116,922

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $114,844 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 129 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0346…52a5backed Yes73c23,487$17,195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,292.0198945.4%449 W · 540 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No20c16,967$3,470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,470.431,44436.8%532 W · 912 L-12.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-17.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes41c12,160$4,988 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,172.3835550.4%179 W · 176 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b62…5cc8backed No60c10,000$5,982 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,982.02540%2 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.31per pick71cpaid-39.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed No8c9,924$812 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$812.026339.7%25 W · 38 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No42c8,197$3,411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,410.6599340.1%398 W · 595 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x481d…9098backed Yes40c4,300$1,720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,5803100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+100.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No41c3,733$1,544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,544.0171443.7%312 W · 402 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-6.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1250…8f99backed Yes32c2,856$916 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,939.512544%11 W · 14 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0570…465ebacked No59c2,720$1,605 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,604.8666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+61.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3cea…e48ebacked No57c2,627$1,493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,492.55616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.29per pick45cpaid-61.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes40c2,469$987 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,481.231,27048%610 W · 660 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No59c2,370$1,391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,390.9672850.7%369 W · 359 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f0f…0e48backed No11c2,288$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.23938.5%15 W · 24 L+2.9wins+0.07per pick31cpaid+197%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xba1d…d326backed No13c2,245$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.315440.7%22 W · 32 L-0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-21.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd8aa…7b9bbacked No60c2,239$1,343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,343.451250%6 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Yes40c1,961$784 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,176.612654%68 W · 58 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+11.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes41c1,940$795 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,144.7233346.8%156 W · 177 L-14.0wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-10.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4348…f08abacked No54c1,815$977 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$976.675450%27 W · 27 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd202…1ef5backed No9c1,631$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.281717.6%3 W · 14 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick17cpaid-16.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4bc5…e563backed No9c1,498$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.566341.3%26 W · 37 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-28.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3901…8f65backed Yes69c1,420$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$440.292100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+72.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed No12c1,287$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.759726.8%26 W · 71 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-31.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xec56…1816backed Yes76c1,052$805 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.3116437.2%61 W · 103 L-11.4wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-34.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes36c985.9$356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$629.841,88036.6%688 W · 1,192 L-7.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No59c938.53$554 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$553.733,01243.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L-29.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa442…3b25backed Yes69c878.17$606 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.23450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9212…4040backed Yes58c775.06$449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.1413952.5%73 W · 66 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Yes73c697.71$512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.1336646.7%171 W · 195 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x65b5…aa71backed Yes40c659.49$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$395.714062.1%87 W · 53 L-0.5wins0.00per pick62cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb964…033ebacked Yes73c609.63$446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.895446.3%25 W · 29 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked No58c593$346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346.149944.4%44 W · 55 L-5.6wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-19%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbd93…56c0backed Yes72c549.19$393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.418774.3%139 W · 48 L+33.5wins+0.18per pick56cpaid+39.4%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0xf40a…ea0abacked Yes74c540.51$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.535068%34 W · 16 L+3.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+23.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes39c504$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.445451.9%28 W · 26 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x237f…362ebacked No29c501.95$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.31837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-31.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No59c500.82$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.4870249.7%349 W · 353 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No59c490.06$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.6697146.1%448 W · 523 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Yes40c468$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.820043%86 W · 114 L+7.3wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+14.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked No23c403.42$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.7213228.8%38 W · 94 L+6.1wins+0.05per pick24cpaid+38.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe301…8654backed No3c353.4$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.53650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc08…6b85backed No59c341.88$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.714254.8%23 W · 19 L-3.2wins-0.08per pick62cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4a3f…4333backed No60c338.94$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.362147.6%10 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-15.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No58c313$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.5468550.5%346 W · 339 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No58c313$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.5491553%485 W · 430 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb476…6eacbacked No11c273.82$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304850%24 W · 24 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-19%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes42c238.07$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.0873438.1%280 W · 454 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x68cb…0000backed No16c224$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.842657.7%15 W · 11 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed No43c221.75$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.719641.3%81 W · 115 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ae5…4f22backed Yes45c219.99$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1212161.9%13 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick69cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No62c217.57$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.1245140.4%182 W · 269 L-18.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-22.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x24bf…b006backed No59c211.35$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.584158.5%24 W · 17 L+3.2wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+14.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed No24c202.48$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.9928721.6%62 W · 225 L-29.9wins-0.10per pick32cpaid-44.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x167a…d542backed No49c202.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007367.1%49 W · 24 L+4.6wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+9.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed No59c196.82$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.7335149.6%174 W · 177 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac9e…cca3backed No59c189.83$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1121266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked No29c186$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.210840.7%44 W · 64 L-5.4wins-0.05per pick46cpaid+10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe904…44e9backed Yes40c181.02$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.619742.3%41 W · 56 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No60c173.74$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.854949%269 W · 280 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x404c…5c87backed Yes26c168.58$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.7520660.7%125 W · 81 L+19.3wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+21.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x698f…ae41backed Yes58c161.69$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.151233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-29.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb01d…46f0backed Yes33c151.52$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.522123.8%5 W · 16 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick20cpaid+19.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0ad2…9401backed Yes71c140$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.72065%13 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick74cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x91fe…c1c6backed Yes51c139.82$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.938246.1%176 W · 206 L+13.2wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Yes42c123$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.3432848.8%160 W · 168 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x89e6…5501backed No59c117$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.031020%2 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick34cpaid-59.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x40e9…494fbacked Yes78c112.38$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.676232.3%20 W · 42 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-38.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f58…d93abacked Yes74c110.76$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.754953.1%26 W · 23 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf009…19e9backed Yes41c102.44$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.4424326.3%64 W · 179 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-14.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d93…fdefbacked No38c100$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$384358.1%25 W · 18 L+3.3wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+18.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa6db…3155backed No59c100$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5916948.5%82 W · 87 L-7.6wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x05b2…953bbacked Yes45c98$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.471850%9 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x87f7…8f45backed Yes62c97.84$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.094868.8%33 W · 15 L+7.6wins+0.16per pick53cpaid+16.3%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes73c96.58$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.251968.4%13 W · 6 L+4.0wins+0.21per pick47cpaid+42.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked Yes76c95.86$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.5519852.5%104 W · 94 L-8.5wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-17.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Yes41c93.03$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.891,30151.2%666 W · 635 L-19.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b78…473dbacked Yes75c92$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2322269.4%154 W · 68 L+31.4wins+0.14per pick55cpaid+33.1%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No59c90.5$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.480358%466 W · 337 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe1e3…f1bdbacked No58c90$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.22568%17 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfff7…7c28backed No60c83.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8fd3…99b2backed No59c81.12$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.9150%0 W · 5 L-3.0wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked No60c80$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.2431446.5%146 W · 168 L-10.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-14.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0df7…1ec1backed Yes48c77.27$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.029357%53 W · 40 L+6.2wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+25.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9299…8f9cbacked Yes28c71.43$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.43250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick26cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes71c71$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.5819073.7%140 W · 50 L+18.6wins+0.10per pick64cpaid+22.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8e90…4f65backed No60c67.02$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.149345.2%42 W · 51 L-7.3wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-19.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9a3b…b968backed Yes77c64.94$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.942171.4%15 W · 6 L+2.9wins+0.14per pick58cpaid+27.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked No39c63.4$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.4880249.8%399 W · 403 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd3a…91fdbacked Yes74c63.01$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.389437.2%35 W · 59 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-18.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf184…d472backed No60c62.55$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.53475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+17.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaaca…f5d5backed Yes40c62$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.25154.9%28 W · 23 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Yes48c57.09$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.896756.8%549 W · 418 L+73.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7179…7d79backed Yes42c54.05$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.3512551.2%64 W · 61 L+9.7wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+19.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcc97…7172backed No20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-27.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c18…c208backed Yes43c47$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.792254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed Yes53c46.29$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.66352.4%33 W · 30 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a60…a744backed Yes44c45.45$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.451637.5%6 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+40.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3da8…be26backed No59c45$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.552650%13 W · 13 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x92aa…0341backed Yes62c42.9$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.231838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-4.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x78e1…7337backed No60c41.67$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.25per pick37cpaid-70.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.