TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will Mirassol FC win on 2026-08-13?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$77,174
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$74,646

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $77,174 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 114 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Yes76c7,645$5,809 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,809.378,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No27c6,492$1,736 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,756.252,28134.3%782 W · 1,499 L-30.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0570…465ebacked No43c6,228$2,678 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,549.852759.3%16 W · 11 L+3.4wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+26.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No36c4,867$1,752 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,115.195,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes63c3,395$2,139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,138.692,51439%980 W · 1,534 L-32.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Yes19c3,223$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60021252.4%111 W · 101 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No27c2,431$662 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,768.711,29042.8%552 W · 738 L-2.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac69…3c46backed Yes17c2,308$395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$395.154852.1%25 W · 23 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+12.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x04d5…66d8backed Yes58c1,488$863 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$863.165650%28 W · 28 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4bc5…e563backed No32c1,350$432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$917.7211039.1%43 W · 67 L+5.7wins+0.05per pick34cpaid-17.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4502…9eedbacked No30c1,000$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70016051.3%82 W · 78 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f0f…0e48backed Yes19c938.92$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.2412434.7%43 W · 81 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e39…352cbacked No43c865.47$372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$493.3210426.9%28 W · 76 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick24cpaid+44.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No77c851.08$658 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.881,53745.2%695 W · 842 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a83…920dbacked No33c819.25$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$548.96251.6%32 W · 30 L+4.4wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+14.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbfb3…f890backed Yes77c815.71$627 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$626.925757.9%33 W · 24 L+4.3wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+20.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes70c750.26$527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$526.9882434.5%284 W · 540 L-17.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x547f…2937backed Yes59c739.08$436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$436.062937.9%11 W · 18 L-4.4wins-0.15per pick53cpaid-27%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes17c732.57$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.261,44345.9%662 W · 781 L-22.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x13e4…8b89backed No31c732.3$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$507.6710649.1%52 W · 54 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes57c709.61$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407.866837.1%248 W · 420 L+0.8wins0.00per pick37cpaid+4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7f6…e517backed Yes76c656.16$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5006753.7%36 W · 31 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+18.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb399…9435backed No31c636.36$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$436.4113748.9%67 W · 70 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes59c600.18$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354.844351.2%22 W · 21 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x275c…349cbacked Yes71c563.36$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.999920.2%20 W · 79 L-8.6wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-53.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe337…4ad6backed No30c562.46$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$393.7219155.5%106 W · 85 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No41c532.67$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.651,94451.3%998 W · 946 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Yes21c505.69$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.0520036.5%73 W · 127 L-6.4wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-29.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb797…e779backed Yes54c499.99$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.994040%16 W · 24 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-17.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xde39…2fa1backed No26c467.21$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.5810828.7%31 W · 77 L+0.3wins0.00per pick28cpaid-29.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc785…4ef2backed No78c426.39$332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.5921938.8%85 W · 134 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-34.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x579a…b0a7backed No34c412.69$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.6220934%71 W · 138 L-8.1wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-11.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6f39…e279backed Yes18c408.49$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.5317051.8%88 W · 82 L+7.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-2.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x61d4…3593backed No27c364.88$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.3729037.9%110 W · 180 L+1.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid-17.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x590d…572dbacked Yes75c325.1$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.51450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaae5…7974backed No30c323.12$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.181631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.11per pick42cpaid-17.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked No41c271$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.8918050%90 W · 90 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x24ce…da46backed Yes22c254.17$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.0816449.4%81 W · 83 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfec2…08afbacked Yes57c250.32$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.6812541.6%52 W · 73 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked No72c250$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7135046.3%162 W · 188 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9930…696ebacked No33c229.14$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.1919040.5%77 W · 113 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe432…934abacked Yes18c204$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.722937.9%11 W · 18 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick34cpaid-27.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes57c201.29$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.221,43937.5%540 W · 899 L+4.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Yes79c198$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.3495155.8%531 W · 420 L+31.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes57c174.98$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.741,35549.7%674 W · 681 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed Yes78c169.85$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.9460156.2%338 W · 263 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4156…997ebacked No32c156.24$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.247742.9%33 W · 44 L-6.4wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-24.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No42c154.97$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.292,61154.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d29…65e7backed No26c150$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1112250%11 W · 11 L+4.0wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+62.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x24bf…b006backed No34c149.78$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.587856.4%44 W · 34 L+5.9wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+14.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6feb…c082backed Yes57c138$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.663135.5%11 W · 20 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3d1…de26backed No31c121$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.4912755.9%71 W · 56 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No54c119.98$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.671,44456.4%815 W · 629 L+51.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9b78…473dbacked No63c119.67$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.2124665.9%162 W · 84 L+26.2wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+27.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xd806…5131backed No44c113.64$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.64560%3 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.21per pick39cpaid+28.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes74c113$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.9572058.8%423 W · 297 L+29.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbbc8…4f5bbacked Yes18c111$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.986040%24 W · 36 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed No42c105.68$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.555946%257 W · 302 L-19.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xff67…a1c9backed No44c102.88$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.615648.2%27 W · 29 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb886…893abacked No43c101.98$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.13988.9%8 W · 1 L+2.7wins+0.30per pick59cpaid+60.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd924…7bc2backed Yes59c101.69$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6010044%44 W · 56 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Yes78c100.97$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.5963061.3%386 W · 244 L+22.3wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked No25c99.99$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.8324535.5%87 W · 158 L-13.9wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-19.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x43ed…6232backed Yes67c95.32$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.845532.7%18 W · 37 L-7.5wins-0.14per pick46cpaid-43.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed No31c93.47$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.3149535.4%175 W · 320 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfeef…4b1fbacked Yes77c86.28$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.726465.9%174 W · 90 L+13.6wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa8eb…0acbbacked Yes59c84.75$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5019543.1%84 W · 111 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Yes52c84.39$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.932139.6%127 W · 194 L-11.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No22c84.1$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.213,74938.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L-33.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed No41c81.91$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.0178756.4%444 W · 343 L+23.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf27…f35fbacked No31c77.42$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.429446.8%44 W · 50 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe392…d868backed Yes78c75.92$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.3512662.7%79 W · 47 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5f56…348abacked Yes29c74$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.1210249%50 W · 52 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdcbb…07d9backed Yes71c68.82$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.8614264.1%91 W · 51 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick65cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33d2…9ac2backed Yes72c68.5$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.32616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.3wins-0.38per pick54cpaid-69.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe072…54a0backed Yes59c67.8$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x434a…91cbbacked Yes69c63.89$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.812075%15 W · 5 L+4.0wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+30.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x089c…4dc4backed No50c60.57$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.1642946.2%198 W · 231 L-2.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x453d…2dbabacked Yes53c55.3$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.312119%4 W · 17 L-3.3wins-0.16per pick35cpaid-51.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1a98…dc9cbacked Yes59c54.24$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-30.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Yes31c53$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.6530847.7%147 W · 161 L+13.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-6.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa146…6163backed Yes57c52.63$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304052.5%21 W · 19 L+2.8wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+29.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb305…a400backed Yes55c52.52$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.713129%9 W · 22 L-6.8wins-0.22per pick51cpaid-41.5%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x81a7…7042backed Yes51c47.47$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.188342.2%35 W · 48 L-0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-15.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39f9…fcc3backed Yes62c45.64$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.23534.3%12 W · 23 L-5.2wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-31.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x87f7…8f45backed Yes52c42.25$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.169632.3%31 W · 65 L-9.1wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-43.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb619…49c9backed No51c40.91$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.986256.5%35 W · 27 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-0.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4993…553fbacked Yes74c40.38$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.8819164.4%123 W · 68 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5783…429dbacked No30c40$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282962.1%18 W · 11 L+4.7wins+0.16per pick46cpaid+34.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf548…c20ebacked No32c39.99$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.21837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc66a…ed6abacked No35c38.38$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.956864.7%44 W · 24 L+8.9wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+27.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No42c38$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.041,42851.8%740 W · 688 L+22.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda6f…1e46backed Yes59c37.29$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225056%28 W · 22 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ddd…73b2backed Yes72c37.09$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.7316459.8%98 W · 66 L+7.8wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+11.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x68f8…12c8backed Yes49c36.6$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184259.5%25 W · 17 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick66cpaid-6.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x33c9…5124backed Yes59c36.59$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.591145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb699…6d41backed Yes57c36$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.5210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf484…e79cbacked Yes57c35.72$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.362867.9%19 W · 9 L+3.2wins+0.11per pick57cpaid+15.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4a87…fb21backed Yes70c35.71$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251533.3%5 W · 10 L-3.2wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-41%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x79eb…4324backed No30c35.08$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.411100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.70per pick30cpaid+228.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.