South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Mirassol FC vs. LDU de Quito end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1c9a56b4c34d05be3ed268c4683d276f4aa4f1ca97b3a153b3b589208bc29b1f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $48,616
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $54,931
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,616 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 22c | 8,056$1,767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,767.17 | 5,762 | 45.4%2,614 W · 3,148 L | +94.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 36c | 7,741$2,794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,794.24 | 2,287 | 34.3%784 W · 1,503 L | -30.0wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 63c | 2,397$1,514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$882.87 | 2,519 | 39%982 W · 1,537 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 22c | 1,827$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,425.4 | 1,296 | 43%557 W · 739 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed No | 3c | 1,821$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.12 | 575 | 40.2%231 W · 344 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8806…2e83backed No | 2c | 1,646$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.92 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8944…da4bbacked No | 28c | 1,448$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.41 | 109 | 33%36 W · 73 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3740…a935backed Yes | 72c | 1,000$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 104 | 63.5%66 W · 38 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 69cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f6…e517backed Yes | 65c | 754.18$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.43 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1430…a753backed Yes | 20c | 750$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a47…3b21backed No | 73c | 592$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.16 | 130 | 53.1%69 W · 61 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 27c | 493.82$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.49 | 1,670 | 51.8%865 W · 805 L | +19.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98bd…8a55backed Yes | 15c | 434.2$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.07 | 91 | 48.4%44 W · 47 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 48c | 253.31$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.61 | 506 | 43.9%222 W · 284 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 58c | 251$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.35 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x579a…b0a7backed Yes | 20c | 250$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 209 | 34%71 W · 138 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81a7…7042backed No | 15c | 221.22$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.77 | 84 | 42.9%36 W · 48 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe432…934abacked Yes | 71c | 204$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.16 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbc8…4f5bbacked Yes | 72c | 203$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.84 | 60 | 40%24 W · 36 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 72c | 188.98$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.81 | 519 | 45.7%237 W · 282 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 71c | 169.22$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.41 | 1,447 | 45.9%664 W · 783 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed Yes | 71c | 141$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.89 | 219 | 38.8%85 W · 134 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04a0…f299backed Yes | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 28c | 130.47$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.94 | 673 | 37.1%250 W · 423 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb6…9fe0backed Yes | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Yes | 22c | 126.32$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.53 | 193 | 40.4%78 W · 115 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d5…573bbacked No | 29c | 103.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 41cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked No | 63c | 99.99$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.25 | 245 | 35.5%87 W · 158 L | -13.9wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed No | 37c | 97.17$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.09 | 96 | 32.3%31 W · 65 L | -9.1wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x43ed…6232backed No | 17c | 96$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.67 | 55 | 32.7%18 W · 37 L | -7.5wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed No | 65c | 82.14$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.68 | 321 | 39.6%127 W · 194 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 22c | 74.6$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.53 | 495 | 35.4%175 W · 320 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbb…07d9backed No | 78c | 72.95$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.9 | 144 | 63.9%92 W · 52 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 37c | 61.33$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.69 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8eb…0acbbacked Yes | 28c | 53.57$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.57 | 195 | 43.1%84 W · 111 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 72c | 50$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 788 | 56.3%444 W · 344 L | +23.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes | 21c | 49.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.49 | 350 | 46.3%162 W · 188 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed No | 72c | 47.48$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.19 | 312 | 40.1%125 W · 187 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f81…f328backed Yes | 75c | 42.67$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Yes | 66c | 41.67$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.17 | 184 | 46.2%85 W · 99 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 29c | 39.11$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4993…553fbacked No | 78c | 38.14$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.75 | 191 | 64.4%123 W · 68 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked No | 78c | 38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.64 | 722 | 58.6%423 W · 299 L | +28.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39f9…fcc3backed No | 79c | 27.48$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.65 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -4.5wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9207…d26ebacked Yes | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +40%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked No | 78c | 15.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.09 | 264 | 65.9%174 W · 90 L | +13.6wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb59…d1a7backed No | 73c | 15.07$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 66cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e1…6935backed No | 80c | 14.35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.45 | 41 | 73.2%30 W · 11 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Mirassol FC vs. LDU de Quito end in a draw?this page
- Will LDU de Quito win on 2026-08-13?No won
- Will Mirassol FC win on 2026-08-13?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.