South American Leagues · resolved market
Will LDU de Quito win on 2026-08-13?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8c779f2cc085a2ec3f745131ec07b8d63b92cbca98b3231bbb50d659521d6f3e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $105,186
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $115,680
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $105,186 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x64e9…eb4cbacked Yes | 15c | 24,999$3,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,749.89 | 38 | 21.1%8 W · 30 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 9c | 19,660$1,795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,794.52 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 11c | 4,741$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 402 | 42%169 W · 233 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 8c | 3,370$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.17 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 12c | 1,182$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.09 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa76c…dc83backed Yes | 15c | 1,067$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8944…da4bbacked Yes | 8c | 944.44$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 109 | 33%36 W · 73 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61d4…3593backed Yes | 3c | 803.76$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.66 | 290 | 37.9%110 W · 180 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde39…2fa1backed Yes | 10c | 769.57$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.59 | 108 | 28.7%31 W · 77 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 9c | 685.67$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.8 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81a7…7042backed Yes | 4c | 521.95$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.66 | 83 | 42.2%35 W · 48 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 8c | 500$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd74…bedabacked Yes | 10c | 399.98$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 129 | 33.3%43 W · 86 L | +7.8wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +20%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b0…e756backed Yes | 7c | 350$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 73 | 34.2%25 W · 48 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 9c | 278.46$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.79 | 495 | 35.4%175 W · 320 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 5c | 250$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 824 | 34.5%284 W · 540 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc423…03b9backed Yes | 10c | 204.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe432…934abacked Yes | 8c | 204$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.32 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbc8…4f5bbacked Yes | 8c | 203$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.24 | 60 | 40%24 W · 36 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x453d…2dbabacked Yes | 16c | 187.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -3.3wins | -0.16per pick | 35cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 13c | 182.88$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.9 | 506 | 43.9%222 W · 284 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Yes | 15c | 150$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 559 | 46%257 W · 302 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x275c…349cbacked Yes | 7c | 144.53$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.17 | 99 | 20.2%20 W · 79 L | -8.6wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1430…a753backed Yes | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39df…976abacked Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb66a…b156backed Yes | 15c | 100.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.04 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | +55.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e10…c724backed Yes | 16c | 100.09$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed Yes | 11c | 98$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.48 | 96 | 32.3%31 W · 65 L | -9.1wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 14c | 82.71$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.58 | 180 | 50%90 W · 90 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24bf…b006backed Yes | 17c | 76.11$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.81 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | +5.9wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x88b2…24bcbacked Yes | 16c | 63.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yes | 25c | 62$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.41 | 485 | 47.6%231 W · 254 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked No | 69c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 308 | 47.7%147 W · 161 L | +13.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0c…47eabacked No | 77c | 13.47$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.1 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will LDU de Quito win on 2026-08-13?this page
- Will Mirassol FC vs. LDU de Quito end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Mirassol FC win on 2026-08-13?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.