Tennis · resolved market
Philadelphia: Ella Seidel vs Jessica Bouzas Maneiro
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc9f50890b5c3eee42d61bdb86f54db3588b693dfa231139c07960e6ef04ba071
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Jessica Bouzas Maneiroof Ella Seidel, Jessica Bouzas Maneiro
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,664
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,948
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,664 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6512…e713backed Ella Seidel | 33c | 3,030$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Ella Seidel | 25c | 2,670$669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$669.37 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Ella Seidel | 16c | 2,619$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.4 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe89c…9c72backed Ella Seidel | 29c | 2,351$682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$681.79 | 430 | 54.9%236 W · 194 L | +19.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Jessica Bouzas Maneiro | 67c | 1,750$1,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.5 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Ella Seidel | 18c | 1,052$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.66 | 937 | 40.6%380 W · 557 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe366…6de2backed Ella Seidel | 37c | 793.65$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.65 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Ella Seidel | 24c | 723.9$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.1 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Ella Seidel | 18c | 652.77$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.56 | 2,766 | 47.7%1,318 W · 1,448 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbab2…9decbacked Ella Seidel | 27c | 631$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.37 | 291 | 51.9%151 W · 140 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Ella Seidel | 32c | 520$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.4 | 359 | 38.2%137 W · 222 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Ella Seidel | 32c | 301.78$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.47 | 2,462 | 38.5%948 W · 1,514 L | +93.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed Jessica Bouzas Maneiro | 67c | 301.51$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.5 | 221 | 52.9%117 W · 104 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe713…c9a0backed Jessica Bouzas Maneiro | 68c | 300$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 115 | 67%77 W · 38 L | +9.3wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Ella Seidel | 20c | 294.57$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.91 | 883 | 58.2%514 W · 369 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Ella Seidel | 32c | 291.89$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.4 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Jessica Bouzas Maneiro | 68c | 274.94$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.98 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Ella Seidel | 4c | 270$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 1,178 | 46.3%545 W · 633 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…ff77backed Jessica Bouzas Maneiro | 70c | 269.99$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.05 | 967 | 55.3%535 W · 432 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x796f…00f6backed Ella Seidel | 20c | 264$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.8 | 155 | 45.2%70 W · 85 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23bc…5487backed Ella Seidel | 6c | 213.62$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.32 | 220 | 35.9%79 W · 141 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d2a…d5d0backed Jessica Bouzas Maneiro | 76c | 209.36$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.25 | 247 | 62.3%154 W · 93 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Ella Seidel | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 528 | 47%248 W · 280 L | -19.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Jessica Bouzas Maneiro | 75c | 192.37$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.15 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b24…11efbacked Jessica Bouzas Maneiro | 75c | 191.68$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.59 | 640 | 65.9%422 W · 218 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Jessica Bouzas Maneiro | 70c | 182.69$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.81 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Ella Seidel | 30c | 158.7$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.61 | 1,042 | 36.5%380 W · 662 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed Ella Seidel | 32c | 146$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.72 | 695 | 45.8%318 W · 377 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Ella Seidel | 24c | 145.47$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.91 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Ella Seidel | 32c | 143$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.76 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0fd…3798backed Ella Seidel | 18c | 132.06$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.77 | 116 | 18.1%21 W · 95 L | -9.4wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -21%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8643…85b2backed Ella Seidel | 30c | 113.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.2 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf8c2…2d18backed Ella Seidel | 29c | 97.35$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.23 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Ella Seidel | 32c | 87.38$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.96 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x571f…1d37backed Ella Seidel | 26c | 68.75$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.9 | 1,065 | 54.7%583 W · 482 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Ella Seidel | 30c | 64.71$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.45 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Ella Seidel | 29c | 57.14$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.55 | 2,044 | 53.8%1,100 W · 944 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Jessica Bouzas Maneiro | 76c | 56.83$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.58 | 1,959 | 43.7%857 W · 1,102 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe75…5af2backed Ella Seidel | 27c | 53.93$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 116 | 62.9%73 W · 43 L | +12.2wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +34%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Jessica Bouzas Maneiro | 79c | 48.53$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.16 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9991…b2cebacked Jessica Bouzas Maneiro | 64c | 46.9$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.88 | 69 | 56.5%39 W · 30 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18d8…da3bbacked Ella Seidel | 33c | 42$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.84 | 274 | 48.5%133 W · 141 L | +24.3wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Ella Seidel | 33c | 38.45$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.69 | 508 | 45.9%233 W · 275 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Ella Seidel | 35c | 28.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 2,485 | 35.9%893 W · 1,592 L | -28.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Jessica Bouzas Maneiro | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.