Mls · resolved market
Will CF Montréal win on 2026-08-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1a02d2f27dd1e320cd9287f527302219271aaa3f5ff22a018b6065fde629712a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,597
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,771
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,597 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x162c…6c47backed Yes | 47c | 13,682$6,431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,430.63 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed No | 53c | 8,035$4,258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,776.36 | 126 | 54%68 W · 58 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b5…4582backed No | 52c | 5,822$3,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,767.44 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 70c | 4,187$2,931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,256.25 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83d4…ad01backed Yes | 50c | 4,051$2,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,015.64 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 53c | 2,555$1,347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,208.03 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 38c | 2,500$942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$941.96 | 993 | 40.1%398 W · 595 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed No | 50c | 1,598$799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799.14 | 129 | 51.2%66 W · 63 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed No | 53c | 1,587$841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$745.7 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Yes | 49c | 1,469$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.76 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked No | 40c | 1,397$554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$842.96 | 191 | 72.3%138 W · 53 L | +36.8wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 41c | 1,292$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.81 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed No | 51c | 1,250$638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.5 | 177 | 40.7%72 W · 105 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 47c | 1,241$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.11 | 714 | 43.7%312 W · 402 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03c6…3dd2backed Yes | 49c | 1,023$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8868…ec09backed No | 51c | 854.85$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.88 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed No | 52c | 705.29$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.63 | 394 | 35.8%141 W · 253 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9c…535ebacked Yes | 54c | 701.41$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 49 | 24.5%12 W · 37 L | -4.4wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 22c | 670$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.6 | 483 | 44.9%217 W · 266 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 53c | 572$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.84 | 685 | 50.5%346 W · 339 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12f9…74babacked No | 40c | 529.12$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.47 | 102 | 73.5%75 W · 27 L | +13.5wins | +0.13per pick | 60cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Yes | 41c | 439.39$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.71 | 171 | 37.4%64 W · 107 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9d…63f9backed Yes | 48c | 416.58$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7618…24c6backed Yes | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 20c | 400.95$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.51 | 228 | 41.7%95 W · 133 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 50c | 378$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 53c | 302.08$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.98 | 803 | 58%466 W · 337 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 60c | 296.75$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.8 | 923 | 46.6%430 W · 493 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bf…f0ccbacked No | 35c | 286.37$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.43 | 95 | 55.8%53 W · 42 L | +6.5wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ec…a9c4backed No | 37c | 273.05$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.11 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Yes | 52c | 243$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.18 | 123 | 46.3%57 W · 66 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31ac…8b4cbacked Yes | 44c | 227.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +3.4wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 80c | 221.87$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.45 | 229 | 46.7%107 W · 122 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55b9…a814backed Yes | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +5.3wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 51c | 196.46$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.27 | 204 | 49%100 W · 104 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40e9…494fbacked Yes | 28c | 185.43$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.44 | 62 | 32.3%20 W · 42 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed Yes | 22c | 182.78$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.79 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 47c | 180.91$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.86 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Yes | 53c | 162.08$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.41 | 198 | 52.5%104 W · 94 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yes | 17c | 127$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.78 | 366 | 46.7%171 W · 195 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0178…3f7abacked No | 63c | 114.38$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.32 | 75 | 64%48 W · 27 L | +8.8wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 44c | 109.07$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.99 | 100 | 42%42 W · 58 L | -8.9wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 44c | 106.56$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.89 | 429 | 47.1%202 W · 227 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 53c | 104.34$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.74 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Yes | 21c | 104.1$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.7 | 177 | 53.1%94 W · 83 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -22%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed No | 51c | 103$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.42 | 178 | 58.4%104 W · 74 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0fb…8092backed No | 45c | 90.67$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.47 | 76 | 34.2%26 W · 50 L | -8.4wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4bcd…c00fbacked No | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe75…5af2backed Yes | 14c | 84$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 51c | 81.97$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.17 | 376 | 49.7%187 W · 189 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 16c | 78.47$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 444 | 47.3%210 W · 234 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 54c | 77.67$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.84 | 681 | 50.8%346 W · 335 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31f3…0eacbacked No | 52c | 75.12$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.06 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…d542backed No | 77c | 64.45$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.85 | 73 | 67.1%49 W · 24 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57d1…dc9fbacked Yes | 22c | 63.33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 48c | 56.93$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.2 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 62c | 53$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.86 | 526 | 39.5%208 W · 318 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x042d…0b81backed No | 53c | 51.29$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.11 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | -6.2wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.4 | 92 | 68.5%63 W · 29 L | +11.7wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.12 | 967 | 56.8%549 W · 418 L | +73.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5767…490ebacked Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70bb…10d3backed Yes | 41c | 47.17$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.21 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d77…c07abacked Yes | 44c | 45.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeeaa…15cebacked Yes | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ccf…99ecbacked Yes | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82fb…0b6ebacked No | 52c | 42.31$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.31 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f1…5b7fbacked Yes | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +16%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x947d…dff0backed Yes | 48c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b24…4247backed Yes | 32c | 39.46$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.47 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7e…9dc6backed Yes | 47c | 35.01$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed No | 52c | 30.76$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.76 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…795abacked Yes | 59c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.8 | 156 | 76.9%120 W · 36 L | +32.7wins | +0.21per pick | 56cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 48c | 28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 971 | 46.1%448 W · 523 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked No | 56c | 26.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.61 | 314 | 46.5%146 W · 168 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Yes | 42c | 26.38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.18 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf27…f35fbacked Yes | 48c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66fc…2a1fbacked Yes | 69c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 34 | 70.6%24 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CF Montréal win on 2026-08-22?this page
- Will CF Montréal vs. Los Angeles Galaxy end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Los Angeles Galaxy win on 2026-08-22?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.