TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Mls · resolved market

Will Los Angeles Galaxy win on 2026-08-22?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$26,866
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$26,526

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,866 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4488…e319backed Yes27c3,000$825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82517740.7%72 W · 105 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No75c2,058$1,537 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520.219268.5%63 W · 29 L+11.7wins+0.13per pick56cpaid+17.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No78c1,916$1,492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$424.131,44436.8%532 W · 912 L-12.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-17.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9212…4040backed No42c1,299$549 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$750.6513952.5%73 W · 66 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e9d…63f9backed Yes29c1,289$377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$377.32922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.15per pick37cpaid-57.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No64c1,151$735 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$415.3171443.7%312 W · 402 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-6.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes26c1,050$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.011,88036.6%688 W · 1,192 L-7.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03de…4bfdbacked No70c1,002$702 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.52548%12 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe23c…5ae7backed No48c889.64$423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$466.581844.4%8 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick38cpaid-5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb5a…8445backed No49c810.86$397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$413.62250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes26c707.47$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.9472850.7%369 W · 359 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No69c693.91$479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.251,26245.2%571 W · 691 L-28.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-21.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9766…a41dbacked Yes58c645$374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$374.1922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.13per pick36cpaid-49.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8b97…4500backed No74c601.35$445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.353100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+111%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1a9c…535ebacked Yes16c560.18$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.444924.5%12 W · 37 L-4.4wins-0.09per pick33cpaid-48.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9b78…473dbacked Yes17c462.47$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.2722269.4%154 W · 68 L+31.4wins+0.14per pick55cpaid+33.1%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x55b9…a814backed No42c417.45$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.885954.2%32 W · 27 L+5.3wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+18.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfe5b…8abcbacked Yes27c370.37$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001827.8%5 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-21.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes27c340.24$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.193,01243.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L-29.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed No72c320.11$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.4312951.2%66 W · 63 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed No73c302.47$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.6712654%68 W · 58 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+11.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed No70c290.45$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.2319641.3%81 W · 115 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x76bc…fccabacked No48c284.33$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.034348.8%21 W · 22 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick44cpaid0%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked Yes49c278$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.5719852.5%104 W · 94 L-8.5wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-17.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a3f…4333backed No74c273.47$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.12147.6%10 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-15.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Yes7c264.05$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.488032.5%26 W · 54 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick36cpaid+15.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd786…59b8backed Yes62c257.28$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.863040%12 W · 18 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-27.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed No47c238.33$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.3152639.5%208 W · 318 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a11…ef8ebacked No75c221.4$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.353060%18 W · 12 L-0.1wins0.00per pick60cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x31ac…8b4cbacked No46c217.38$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.381963.2%12 W · 7 L+3.4wins+0.18per pick45cpaid+38.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes57c217$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.151,00946.2%466 W · 543 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed No60c200.98$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.3929370.3%206 W · 87 L+41.2wins+0.14per pick56cpaid+30.1%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Yes26c199.95$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.4920449%100 W · 104 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3555…208ebacked No75c199.15$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.153174.2%23 W · 8 L+2.4wins+0.08per pick66cpaid+11.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8859…89d6backed No75c199.15$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.153066.7%20 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x24bf…b006backed No75c195.49$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.874158.5%24 W · 17 L+3.2wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+14.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Yes26c193.53$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.3268150.8%346 W · 335 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Yes27c184$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.561,30151.2%666 W · 635 L-19.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked No38c181.28$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.397341.1%30 W · 43 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf16e…43afbacked No50c175.71$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.862100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+91.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe904…44e9backed Yes26c164.57$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.799742.3%41 W · 56 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Yes57c164$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.4810840.7%44 W · 64 L-5.4wins-0.05per pick46cpaid+10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Yes57c154.26$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.0823953.6%128 W · 111 L+14.7wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+10.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfcc7…4d38backed No72c154.16$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.164755.3%26 W · 21 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6a6…7971backed Yes66c151.52$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003831.6%12 W · 26 L-6.4wins-0.17per pick48cpaid-46.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xc800…4117backed Yes62c140$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.352437.5%9 W · 15 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Yes57c140$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.417137.4%64 W · 107 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5659…7a6bbacked Yes29c138$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.0252923.8%126 W · 403 L-25.8wins-0.05per pick29cpaid-18%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x698f…ae41backed Yes27c122.22$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-29.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b45…362bbacked Yes62c119.87$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.422810.7%3 W · 25 L-6.8wins-0.24per pick35cpaid-73.5%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes37c118.33$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.2422841.7%95 W · 133 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xffdf…97f8backed Yes26c115.38$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301233.3%4 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick24cpaid+92.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No70c112.36$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.6954949%269 W · 280 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c5c…91fcbacked No46c109.87$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.87450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes24c106.58$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.581,27048%610 W · 660 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes27c105.49$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.8648344.9%217 W · 266 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x999a…9a25backed No80c99.49$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.165752.6%30 W · 27 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-27.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf28b…60c6backed No46c93.36$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.98666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No72c90.35$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.7580358%466 W · 337 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes26c87.78$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.8253046.4%246 W · 284 L-15.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No79c80.12$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.9399340.1%398 W · 595 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a60…a744backed Yes26c76.92$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201637.5%6 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+40.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbaf3…2286backed Yes27c75.85$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.481866.7%12 W · 6 L+3.2wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+36.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0fd3…ac03backed Yes27c74$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.98119.1%1 W · 10 L-2.4wins-0.22per pick31cpaid-84.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Yes27c68.59$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.525525.5%14 W · 41 L-9.9wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-44.6%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes28c68$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.0439435.8%141 W · 253 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes50c65.12$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.835247.7%168 W · 184 L-6.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e59…2a66backed Yes63c62.36$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.292619.2%5 W · 21 L-5.4wins-0.21per pick40cpaid-45.5%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes61c53$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.3392346.6%430 W · 493 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x40e9…494fbacked No51c51.07$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.256232.3%20 W · 42 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-38.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0df7…1ec1backed Yes60c50.33$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309357%53 W · 40 L+6.2wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+25.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No65c48.01$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.745140.4%182 W · 269 L-18.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-22.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x49c5…3de7backed Yes27c46.35$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.352138.1%8 W · 13 L-2.7wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-27.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed No73c44.44$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124751.1%24 W · 23 L+3.6wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+33.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3cab…db1dbacked Yes27c44.44$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked No50c44.21$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.9380249.8%399 W · 403 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60ac…7ad0backed Yes50c43.67$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.9960%0 W · 6 L-2.8wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xaaf6…2971backed No73c41.1$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.16100%6 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+53.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbace…34d6backed Yes29c40$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.61361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5317…9a3bbacked No61c34.46$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.522441.7%10 W · 14 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-31%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed No54c33.79$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.6796756.8%549 W · 418 L+73.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed No44c33.44$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.8225652.3%134 W · 122 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x167a…d542backed Yes53c30$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.987367.1%49 W · 24 L+4.6wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+9.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked No41c26$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.3444447.3%210 W · 234 L-1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked No49c26$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.3131446.5%146 W · 168 L-10.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-14.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4cd…c041backed No52c25.21$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123148.4%15 W · 16 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-23.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x66fc…2a1fbacked Yes67c20$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.43470.6%24 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick71cpaid-0.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1ed1…fd2abacked Yes54c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.82564%16 W · 9 L+4.0wins+0.16per pick48cpaid+33.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2a7e…9dc6backed No72c19$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.323658.3%21 W · 15 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7203…795abacked No75c15$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.7515676.9%120 W · 36 L+32.7wins+0.21per pick56cpaid+43.9%equal weight70+0.18 edge/pick
0x09da…50bcbacked No74c13.84$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.61650%8 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-18.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.