Mls · resolved market
Will CF Montréal vs. Los Angeles Galaxy end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3d137e227a14cec5700d7b3819b7b7b0e4c223273d7ba0aaf714260436b4ed66
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,569
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,500
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,569 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 28c | 3,373$939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$938.85 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 21c | 1,395$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.72 | 229 | 46.7%107 W · 122 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 21c | 1,187$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.99 | 177 | 53.1%94 W · 83 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -22%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3740…a935backed Yes | 57c | 1,118$633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.44 | 48 | 68.8%33 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed No | 21c | 1,029$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.68 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55b9…a814backed No | 36c | 709.08$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.37 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +5.3wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 26c | 706.42$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.81 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 30c | 693.5$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.81 | 993 | 40.1%398 W · 595 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed No | 7c | 667.28$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.14 | 526 | 39.5%208 W · 318 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 71c | 666$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.18 | 923 | 46.6%430 W · 493 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9c…535ebacked Yes | 19c | 589.21$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.36 | 49 | 24.5%12 W · 37 L | -4.4wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5317…9a3bbacked No | 24c | 493$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.23 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -31%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 13c | 492.01$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.6 | 483 | 44.9%217 W · 266 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked No | 27c | 392.64$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.87 | 198 | 52.5%104 W · 94 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bb6…4938backed Yes | 62c | 325.21$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.58 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 71cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a6…7971backed Yes | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.58 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -6.4wins | -0.17per pick | 48cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked No | 16c | 303.15$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.19 | 171 | 37.4%64 W · 107 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 33c | 283.86$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.95 | 802 | 49.8%399 W · 403 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked No | 22c | 245.13$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.83 | 366 | 46.7%171 W · 195 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 24c | 196$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.78 | 443 | 50.6%224 W · 219 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b03…b127backed Yes | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.52 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 28c | 141.67$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 871 | 54.6%476 W · 395 L | +34.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 21c | 130.23$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.58 | 714 | 43.7%312 W · 402 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 18c | 126.86$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.22 | 1,009 | 46.2%466 W · 543 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 80c | 125$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 472 | 40.7%192 W · 280 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ec…a9c4backed Yes | 54c | 111$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.92 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 60c | 103.46$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.97 | 549 | 49%269 W · 280 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x277b…31fabacked No | 59c | 100$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.75 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed No | 28c | 70$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 73 | 27.4%20 W · 53 L | -6.6wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaa58…140dbacked Yes | 22c | 65.07$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.55 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 53c | 60.87$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.61 | 293 | 70.3%206 W · 87 L | +41.2wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x96ea…639abacked Yes | 57c | 51.93$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.33 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb6…2226backed Yes | 36c | 47.22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked No | 74c | 46$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.05 | 126 | 67.5%85 W · 41 L | +11.2wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…d542backed No | 62c | 44$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.23 | 73 | 67.1%49 W · 24 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed No | 78c | 42.74$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.18 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 32c | 42.31$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.9 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x862f…200bbacked No | 76c | 39.47$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 78cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 154 | 58.4%90 W · 64 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 63c | 36$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 451 | 40.4%182 W · 269 L | -18.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd13e…ed01backed Yes | 33c | 33$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.03 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +115%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes | 75c | 31$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.62 | 314 | 46.5%146 W · 168 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked No | 42c | 29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.18 | 108 | 40.7%44 W · 64 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8084…abe8backed No | 76c | 28.95$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 31 | 74.2%23 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 78cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.99 | 187 | 74.3%139 W · 48 L | +33.5wins | +0.18per pick | 56cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 75c | 22.83$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.07 | 681 | 50.8%346 W · 335 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66fc…2a1fbacked Yes | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 34 | 70.6%24 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 74c | 15.07$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.15 | 803 | 58%466 W · 337 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CF Montréal vs. Los Angeles Galaxy end in a draw?this page
- Will CF Montréal win on 2026-08-22?No won
- Will Los Angeles Galaxy win on 2026-08-22?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.