Tennis · resolved market
ITF W50 Kursumlijska Banja Women: Elena Milovanovic vs Lucija Ciric Bagaric
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa0b0929e3071b2c5a59c6fb83b944a97a65a6966834734c0109cadb034c08a28
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Elena Milovanovicof Elena Milovanovic, Lucija Ciric Bagaric
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,622
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,646
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,622 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Elena Milovanovic | 41c | 1,999$815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,184.32 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5513…de2abacked Lucija Ciric Bagaric | 41c | 599.99$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.48 | 788 | 38.2%301 W · 487 L | -15.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…ef3dbacked Lucija Ciric Bagaric | 76c | 487.47$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.26 | 295 | 52.2%154 W · 141 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed Lucija Ciric Bagaric | 75c | 425.33$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319 | 1,076 | 60.4%650 W · 426 L | +24.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf8c…e040backed Lucija Ciric Bagaric | 43c | 414.69$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.63 | 648 | 37.5%243 W · 405 L | -32.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Lucija Ciric Bagaric | 43c | 206.63$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.58 | 1,308 | 38.9%509 W · 799 L | -23.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e4…3b32backed Elena Milovanovic | 21c | 203.14$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.5 | 429 | 46.4%199 W · 230 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe75…5af2backed Lucija Ciric Bagaric | 28c | 200$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 116 | 62.9%73 W · 43 L | +12.2wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +34%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Elena Milovanovic | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.57 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Elena Milovanovic | 28c | 162$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.64 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6aca…e738backed Elena Milovanovic | 60c | 108.9$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.38 | 118 | 61%72 W · 46 L | +10.7wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Elena Milovanovic | 27c | 100$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73 | 1,955 | 48%939 W · 1,016 L | +16.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed Lucija Ciric Bagaric | 73c | 100$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 221 | 52.9%117 W · 104 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97de…27d1backed Elena Milovanovic | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Lucija Ciric Bagaric | 73c | 94.79$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.59 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Lucija Ciric Bagaric | 36c | 75.21$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.71 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb663…f135backed Lucija Ciric Bagaric | 27c | 71.48$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.3 | 563 | 37.3%210 W · 353 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9455…7defbacked Lucija Ciric Bagaric | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 960 | 49.5%475 W · 485 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bcd…c00fbacked Lucija Ciric Bagaric | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 120 | 54.2%65 W · 55 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e8…c60ebacked Lucija Ciric Bagaric | 36c | 40.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.66 | 374 | 60.4%226 W · 148 L | +29.1wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +14%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Elena Milovanovic | 63c | 38.8$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.38 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc611…cc2ebacked Lucija Ciric Bagaric | 48c | 38.45$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.46 | 94 | 53.2%50 W · 44 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Lucija Ciric Bagaric | 56c | 33.83$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.11 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Lucija Ciric Bagaric | 41c | 33.75$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb3e…b9c5backed Lucija Ciric Bagaric | 38c | 32.05$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.18 | 355 | 58.6%208 W · 147 L | +19.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Elena Milovanovic | 61c | 25.79$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.97 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4abd…5a5cbacked Elena Milovanovic | 52c | 21.83$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.48 | 391 | 59.1%231 W · 160 L | +28.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2326…b627backed Lucija Ciric Bagaric | 63c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 1,256 | 65.4%821 W · 435 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.