Mls · resolved market
Will St. Louis City SC vs. Houston Dynamo end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3128880cc639eeeafc3d4b15d54c7fc1334419b1c37a844f5b1307a2b8f344e5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,517
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,736
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,517 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa797…dedebacked No | 70c | 3,087$2,162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$925.65 | 146 | 57.5%84 W · 62 L | +14.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec5…fd53backed Yes | 58c | 1,603$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$929.7 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3740…a935backed Yes | 68c | 1,078$728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$728.31 | 48 | 68.8%33 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b8…36ddbacked No | 74c | 900$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 70cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 26c | 869.23$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 73c | 740.42$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.74 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55b9…a814backed No | 72c | 675$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +5.3wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 58c | 642.03$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.38 | 1,009 | 46.2%466 W · 543 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12f9…74babacked No | 75c | 573.59$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.4 | 102 | 73.5%75 W · 27 L | +13.5wins | +0.13per pick | 60cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd786…59b8backed Yes | 25c | 479$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.36 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 73c | 430.36$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.97 | 803 | 58%466 W · 337 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 44c | 391.11$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.55 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a6…7971backed Yes | 26c | 384.81$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -6.4wins | -0.17per pick | 48cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 30c | 347.17$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.15 | 993 | 40.1%398 W · 595 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5317…9a3bbacked Yes | 46c | 317.6$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.4 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -31%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed No | 78c | 310$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.6 | 187 | 74.3%139 W · 48 L | +33.5wins | +0.18per pick | 56cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 73c | 279.98$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.98 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 16c | 231.02$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.32 | 228 | 41.7%95 W · 133 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Yes | 51c | 230.86$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.35 | 108 | 40.7%44 W · 64 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 58c | 215.16$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.83 | 802 | 49.8%399 W · 403 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 39c | 206.13$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.28 | 483 | 44.9%217 W · 266 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked No | 66c | 200$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.9 | 171 | 37.4%64 W · 107 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 66c | 195.49$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.39 | 177 | 53.1%94 W · 83 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -22%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9c…535ebacked Yes | 28c | 183.17$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.05 | 49 | 24.5%12 W · 37 L | -4.4wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c0b…c814backed Yes | 12c | 154$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.02 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed Yes | 30c | 136.03$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.72 | 93 | 57%53 W · 40 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 69c | 131$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.93 | 549 | 49%269 W · 280 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d1…de26backed Yes | 25c | 120$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed Yes | 32c | 119.7$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.61 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Yes | 35c | 110.56$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.26 | 229 | 46.7%107 W · 122 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked No | 71c | 108.55$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.4 | 198 | 52.5%104 W · 94 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Yes | 63c | 107$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.29 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Yes | 57c | 101$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.51 | 198 | 47.5%94 W · 104 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed No | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 273 | 44.3%121 W · 152 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed No | 76c | 99.6$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.9 | 172 | 44.8%77 W · 95 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 25c | 96.89$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.21 | 967 | 56.8%549 W · 418 L | +73.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9578…1597backed Yes | 60c | 96.68$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.81 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 70cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Yes | 19c | 96.43$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.29 | 73 | 27.4%20 W · 53 L | -6.6wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3995…f71dbacked Yes | 23c | 95.65$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed No | 67c | 94.12$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.83 | 196 | 41.3%81 W · 115 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4348…f08abacked No | 75c | 92.6$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.15 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 76c | 89.59$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.76 | 472 | 40.7%192 W · 280 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…d542backed No | 58c | 86$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.12 | 73 | 67.1%49 W · 24 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 20c | 85$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 871 | 54.6%476 W · 395 L | +34.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 27c | 69.26$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 394 | 35.8%141 W · 253 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes | 29c | 68.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 154 | 58.4%90 W · 64 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked No | 72c | 66$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 166 | 57.2%95 W · 71 L | +12.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed No | 75c | 61.62$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.42 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 73c | 60$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 264 | 50%132 W · 132 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc800…4117backed Yes | 26c | 56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 33c | 54.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 287 | 21.6%62 W · 225 L | -29.9wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7b18…efaebacked No | 73c | 54.62$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.68 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 34c | 52.96$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.16 | 714 | 43.7%312 W · 402 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…362bbacked Yes | 25c | 46.2$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 28 | 10.7%3 W · 25 L | -6.8wins | -0.24per pick | 35cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x3e59…2a66backed Yes | 25c | 46.2$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | -5.4wins | -0.21per pick | 40cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 27c | 44.05$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.89 | 971 | 46.1%448 W · 523 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 73c | 42$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.33 | 451 | 40.4%182 W · 269 L | -18.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed No | 72c | 38.9$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.89 | 126 | 54%68 W · 58 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 34c | 35.4$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.08 | 443 | 50.6%224 W · 219 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d91…cdebbacked No | 34c | 30$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +4.3wins | +0.14per pick | 28cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 73c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b60…6272backed No | 75c | 22.67$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.67 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8379…3c91backed No | 73c | 21.92$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked No | 75c | 16.39$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.05 | 18 | 88.9%16 W · 2 L | +4.1wins | +0.23per pick | 66cpaid | +32%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will St. Louis City SC vs. Houston Dynamo end in a draw?this page
- Will Houston Dynamo win on 2026-08-22?No won
- Will St. Louis City SC win on 2026-08-22?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.