Tennis · resolved market
Quebec City: Soon-Woo Kwon vs Shintaro Mochizuki
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9dad37676d70f73b60b47d37190ae531614810910fe8bd1b579499eab1956550
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Soon-Woo Kwonof Soon-Woo Kwon, Shintaro Mochizuki
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $89,940
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $102,697
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $89,940 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 13c | 25,775$3,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,419.6 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5803…3f3fbacked Shintaro Mochizuki | 1c | 5,843$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.38 | 853 | 48.9%417 W · 436 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Shintaro Mochizuki | 6c | 2,980$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.76 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…5051backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 4c | 2,890$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 973 | 7.9%77 W · 896 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Soon-Woo Kwon | 41c | 2,855$1,178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,677.3 | 1,435 | 24.3%348 W · 1,087 L | -36.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Soon-Woo Kwon | 75c | 2,662$1,993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$668.58 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 11c | 1,928$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.66 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Soon-Woo Kwon | 75c | 1,897$1,431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.41 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 14c | 1,579$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.78 | 2,766 | 47.7%1,318 W · 1,448 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2978…b511backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 35c | 1,344$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.28 | 423 | 32.4%137 W · 286 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 16c | 1,235$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,308 | 38.9%509 W · 799 L | -23.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdda3…d55fbacked Shintaro Mochizuki | 4c | 1,200$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.68 | 182 | 44%80 W · 102 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3e…986cbacked Shintaro Mochizuki | 23c | 1,042$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.05 | 636 | 48%305 W · 331 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5513…de2abacked Shintaro Mochizuki | 15c | 951.5$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.66 | 788 | 38.2%301 W · 487 L | -15.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 9c | 940.73$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.18 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 6c | 663.8$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.49 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe302…a986backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 26c | 638.36$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.66 | 198 | 41.9%83 W · 115 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Shintaro Mochizuki | 57c | 417$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.69 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55b9…a814backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 21c | 396.07$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.37 | 369 | 46.9%173 W · 196 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc357…3684backed Soon-Woo Kwon | 57c | 389.12$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.15 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42d6…01ccbacked Soon-Woo Kwon | 69c | 362.32$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.32 | 1,077 | 62.8%676 W · 401 L | -27.9wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Shintaro Mochizuki | 52c | 270.53$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.52 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…3ad7backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 28c | 250$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.05 | 99 | 44.4%44 W · 55 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb77…ef9ebacked Shintaro Mochizuki | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 940 | 68.1%640 W · 300 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Shintaro Mochizuki | 50c | 187$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.86 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Shintaro Mochizuki | 23c | 181.52$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.75 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x012d…9db6backed Soon-Woo Kwon | 68c | 176.05$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.05 | 849 | 68.4%581 W · 268 L | +25.9wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbb…5ea4backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 11c | 164.17$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.34 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0565…14d9backed Soon-Woo Kwon | 80c | 162$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0fd…3798backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 16c | 144.82$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.75 | 116 | 18.1%21 W · 95 L | -9.4wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -21%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c7…d291backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 9c | 115$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 109 | 45.9%50 W · 59 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70bb…10d3backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 25c | 111.6$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.91 | 337 | 54%182 W · 155 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 30c | 109.13$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.43 | 1,959 | 43.7%857 W · 1,102 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Soon-Woo Kwon | 69c | 102.41$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.7 | 1,955 | 48%939 W · 1,016 L | +16.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36cf…d3aebacked Soon-Woo Kwon | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.1 | 449 | 46.1%207 W · 242 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2064…0ab1backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 55c | 99.99$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 398 | 44.2%176 W · 222 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d1…de26backed Soon-Woo Kwon | 48c | 93.36$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.36 | 279 | 43.4%121 W · 158 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfea6…b795backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 21c | 83.14$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.34 | 541 | 41.4%224 W · 317 L | -19.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe176…0f99backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 46c | 75.42$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Shintaro Mochizuki | 27c | 72.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.62 | 629 | 52.1%328 W · 301 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Shintaro Mochizuki | 26c | 68$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.64 | 1,626 | 52.7%857 W · 769 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Shintaro Mochizuki | 28c | 59.05$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.72 | 1,710 | 53.7%918 W · 792 L | +30.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeedc…d4c0backed Soon-Woo Kwon | 69c | 58.32$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.08 | 148 | 70.3%104 W · 44 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4093…5749backed Soon-Woo Kwon | 77c | 54.59$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.39 | 2,855 | 49.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 31c | 54$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.74 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28d8…be44backed Soon-Woo Kwon | 55c | 53.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.07 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0536…c50bbacked Shintaro Mochizuki | 40c | 50.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 120 | 35.8%43 W · 77 L | -9.7wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 31c | 45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.95 | 695 | 45.8%318 W · 377 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 29c | 44.97$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.04 | 2,854 | 39.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L | -83.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7618…24c6backed Soon-Woo Kwon | 69c | 43.48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | -4.8wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Soon-Woo Kwon | 66c | 41.9$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.13 | 212 | 40.6%86 W · 126 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x571f…1d37backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 32c | 33.35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 1,065 | 54.7%583 W · 482 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f17…0724backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 38c | 33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.53 | 702 | 54.4%382 W · 320 L | +40.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x023d…23acbacked Soon-Woo Kwon | 63c | 31.87$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.72 | 617 | 55.9%345 W · 272 L | +18.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41cf…8268backed Soon-Woo Kwon | 70c | 30.02$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.02 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Soon-Woo Kwon | 59c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.23 | 1,008 | 43.8%442 W · 566 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 34c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 2,485 | 35.9%893 W · 1,592 L | -28.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Soon-Woo Kwon | 73c | 18.65$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.05 | 883 | 58.2%514 W · 369 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Soon-Woo Kwon | 77c | 18.6$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.32 | 799 | 51.1%408 W · 391 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x147c…2540backed Soon-Woo Kwon | 68c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.76 | 281 | 64.4%181 W · 100 L | +10.3wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b56…a082backed Soon-Woo Kwon | 68c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.76 | 425 | 63.3%269 W · 156 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.