Chess · resolved market
Will Praggnanandhaa Rameshbabu win the 2026 Super Rapid & Blitz Croatia?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5035de96fbc46d02be0bb4e686bf8790c10644b79e6bd56db0ed954232852ef4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Chessevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,999
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,905
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,999 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 13 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Chess is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Chess | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x36bf…2864backed Yes | 11c | 1,174$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.24 | 116 | 31%36 W · 80 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 24cpaid | +8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x48d9…2a28backed Yes | 24c | 930.93$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.96 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed No | 78c | 828.14$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.82 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…d68abacked Yes | 27c | 365.17$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 6c | 252$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 21 | 4.8%1 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -81.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6727…2ac7backed Yes | 17c | 228.76$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.63 | 32 | 12.5%4 W · 28 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2cf…464bbacked Yes | 27c | 158.95$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.58 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 17c | 104.85$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.53 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed No | 74c | 97$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.57 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed No | 69c | 91.27$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.29 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 79c | 66.52$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.77 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -49%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 78c | 53$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.54 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 76c | 47.34$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.56 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Chess and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Praggnanandhaa Rameshbabu win the 2026 Super Rapid & Blitz Croatia?this page
- Will Alireza Firouzja win the 2026 Super Rapid & Blitz Croatia?Yes won
- Will Anish Giri win the 2026 Super Rapid & Blitz Croatia?No won
- Will Gukesh Dommaraju win the 2026 Super Rapid & Blitz Croatia?No won
- Will Jorden Van Foreest win the 2026 Super Rapid & Blitz Croatia?No won
- Will Maxime Vachier-Lagrave win the 2026 Super Rapid & Blitz Croatia?No won
- Will Nodirbek Abdusattorov win the 2026 Super Rapid & Blitz Croatia?No won
- Will Vincent Keymer win the 2026 Super Rapid & Blitz Croatia?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.