Champions League · resolved market
Will Qairat FK vs. AS Omónoia Leukosías end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xca48f12395f46a8fd69606cd134cd131c247e6335a2cc518c29c15962a9c2bce
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $56,818
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $57,733
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,818 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 31c | 7,831$2,424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,424.38 | 915 | 37.6%344 W · 571 L | +30.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 7c | 3,447$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.72 | 1,511 | 40.2%608 W · 903 L | -6.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes | 7c | 2,998$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.82 | 145 | 32.4%47 W · 98 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 29c | 2,369$693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$693.44 | 886 | 31.7%281 W · 605 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 10c | 1,987$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.15 | 723 | 35.5%257 W · 466 L | -28.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 72c | 1,983$1,423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.96 | 164 | 40.9%67 W · 97 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa14f…9a6ebacked Yes | 11c | 1,818$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 71c | 1,778$1,261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516.74 | 318 | 47.5%151 W · 167 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 71c | 1,707$1,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.38 | 338 | 44.7%151 W · 187 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc66a…ed6abacked No | 78c | 1,596$1,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.73 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +4.0wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked No | 67c | 1,540$1,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.31 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 73cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf844…ee3cbacked Yes | 38c | 1,385$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Yes | 27c | 1,287$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.85 | 110 | 35.5%39 W · 71 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 73c | 1,192$874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.28 | 467 | 41.5%194 W · 273 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked Yes | 30c | 929.97$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 47 | 27.7%13 W · 34 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -24%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 71c | 870.87$617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.07 | 520 | 46.7%243 W · 277 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30d5…36bfbacked No | 71c | 800$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 29c | 718.33$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.31 | 633 | 46.3%293 W · 340 L | -21.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…ae13backed Yes | 29c | 689.66$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x080e…78a5backed Yes | 12c | 677.22$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.53 | 27 | 11.1%3 W · 24 L | -4.2wins | -0.16per pick | 27cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x225b…9a83backed Yes | 6c | 603.54$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.25 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Yes | 29c | 518$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.22 | 432 | 52.3%226 W · 206 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Yes | 13c | 431.83$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.7 | 100 | 46%46 W · 54 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 73c | 419.21$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.55 | 89 | 59.6%53 W · 36 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 11c | 391.22$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.21 | 272 | 36.4%99 W · 173 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4126…e68bbacked Yes | 9c | 385$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.3 | 142 | 38%54 W · 88 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 8c | 381.11$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.52 | 123 | 48.8%60 W · 63 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc19d…7204backed Yes | 7c | 271.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5df0…e700backed Yes | 25c | 231.22$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed No | 52c | 214.11$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.77 | 44 | 6.8%3 W · 41 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -75.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6868…24f0backed Yes | 29c | 200$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 80 | 38.8%31 W · 49 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe6…4a1bbacked Yes | 16c | 194.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.3 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 66c | 186.5$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.41 | 446 | 47.3%211 W · 235 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 70c | 179.98$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.79 | 381 | 42.8%163 W · 218 L | -22.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x82f3…5cd4backed Yes | 28c | 154.9$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.51 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4732…f40dbacked No | 70c | 142.84$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.42 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8543…ff1bbacked No | 70c | 128$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.45 | 82 | 50%41 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xced7…b7b5backed Yes | 22c | 115$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6139…d481backed Yes | 30c | 110$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d38…cc4ebacked Yes | 25c | 97.54$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.16 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Yes | 28c | 95.71$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.76 | 107 | 43.9%47 W · 60 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 76c | 95.45$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.56 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93f9…9ccbbacked Yes | 21c | 93.06$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Yes | 19c | 79.9$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.18 | 306 | 56.9%174 W · 132 L | +13.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked No | 58c | 78$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.11 | 84 | 40.5%34 W · 50 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 71c | 74.68$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.66 | 222 | 45%100 W · 122 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 75c | 71.66$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefe4…8f49backed No | 67c | 70$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.1 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 65cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Yes | 20c | 69$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 149 | 42.3%63 W · 86 L | -8.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 286 | 39.9%114 W · 172 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 27c | 66.48$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.95 | 597 | 41.7%249 W · 348 L | -18.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 78c | 62.87$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.54 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3561…f1b7backed No | 77c | 62.49$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.45 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8cd…ed53backed No | 74c | 59.65$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.51 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 62cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked No | 73c | 56.81$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.23 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa7…eccfbacked Yes | 19c | 56.7$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa945…59fdbacked Yes | 29c | 55.77$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30a0…a458backed Yes | 21c | 55$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 24cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed No | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…02ccbacked No | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1497…4414backed Yes | 30c | 49.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 21cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed No | 71c | 45$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Yes | 27c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1230…c70bbacked No | 71c | 38.78$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.26 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc112…d1efbacked Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb86c…b76fbacked No | 71c | 29$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.41 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2d…da35backed No | 75c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86d0…904ebacked No | 71c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.25 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 71c | 17.02$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.89 | 154 | 42.9%66 W · 88 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb59…d1a7backed No | 72c | 15.28$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.28 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.18per pick | 67cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd0bc…7714backed No | 73c | 15.07$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.02 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc56b…3afdbacked No | 76c | 14.04$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.32 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +95.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Qairat FK vs. AS Omónoia Leukosías end in a draw?this page
- Will AS Omónoia Leukosías win on 2026-07-29?No won
- Will Qairat FK win on 2026-07-29?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.