Valorant · resolved market
Will XLG Esports be the Last VCT CN Team Standing at EWC 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2c467ac25af1e8c00e894bcf21368c978f7b72f0699eb65fba2d2624ad12442d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,532
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,291
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,532 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa19d…3909backed Yes | 49c | 1,423$695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$694.7 | 173 | 49.7%86 W · 87 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 57c | 590.17$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.64 | 190 | 46.3%88 W · 102 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3006…780fbacked No | 54c | 544.38$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.97 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 60cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 46c | 300$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +67.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d00…0121backed Yes | 45c | 173.96$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.28 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2277…6604backed Yes | 45c | 159.04$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.57 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.22per pick | 37cpaid | -58.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaab8…4664backed No | 72c | 124.99$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.45 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 42cpaid | -76.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6dd…ea63backed No | 46c | 73$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +118.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 46c | 72$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.12 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb57e…0b91backed No | 59c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 55cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 24c | 45$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.2 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +3.1wins | +0.52per pick | 31cpaid | +295.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x081a…66d0backed No | 30c | 43.24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.18 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf0e…c02bbacked Yes | 45c | 41$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.45 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.4wins | -0.31per pick | 49cpaid | -73.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdf1a…e414backed Yes | 65c | 40$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x571e…67b2backed No | 59c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 59cpaid | +70.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 42c | 40$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.2 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x385e…3896backed No | 59c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +70.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffee…ea6bbacked Yes | 45c | 28.16$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb87…eb45backed Yes | 78c | 20.18$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58ce…57c4backed No | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf4…ba60backed No | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa99f…b306backed No | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will XLG Esports be the Last VCT CN Team Standing at EWC 2026?this page
- Will All Gamers be the Last VCT CN Team Standing at EWC 2026?Yes won
- Will EDward Gaming be the Last VCT CN Team Standing at EWC 2026?No won
- Will Titan Esports Club be the Last VCT CN Team Standing at EWC 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.