La Liga · resolved market
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol B vs. Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7e3356d9806bb220339a4736a9f8b65f9d4786693fff97d345ea5d2a7890c9ed
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $55,092
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $69,797
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,092 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1d63…2e49backed No | 72c | 14,033$10,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,098.45 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 13c | 7,047$935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$935.38 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked No | 15c | 3,957$613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$613.13 | 213 | 22.1%47 W · 166 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 30c | 3,801$1,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,646.07 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 28c | 3,479$974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,505.2 | 834 | 44.6%372 W · 462 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 15c | 3,457$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.45 | 608 | 32.4%197 W · 411 L | -12.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Yes | 28c | 2,704$757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,947.26 | 134 | 45.5%61 W · 73 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 72c | 2,295$1,652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,652.43 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Yes | 28c | 1,881$527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,354.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.72per pick | 28cpaid | +257.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Yes | 28c | 1,607$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,157.14 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | +9.6wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 33c | 926.98$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$616.64 | 923 | 45.5%420 W · 503 L | -30.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38b8…f812backed Yes | 29c | 864$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$613.52 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +7.1wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Yes | 29c | 404.45$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.16 | 283 | 57.2%162 W · 121 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 28c | 399.49$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.66 | 1,176 | 51.9%610 W · 566 L | +18.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Yes | 49c | 227.72$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.92 | 281 | 38.8%109 W · 172 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 14c | 220$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.75 | 458 | 41%188 W · 270 L | -11.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 72c | 216.48$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.87 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb03…5ae4backed Yes | 35c | 200$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 30c | 200$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 489 | 34.4%168 W · 321 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 28c | 152.37$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.61 | 754 | 51.2%386 W · 368 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 28c | 147$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.84 | 697 | 50.8%354 W · 343 L | +3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 73c | 143$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.66 | 413 | 48.7%201 W · 212 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.14 | 134 | 26.1%35 W · 99 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe566…9cc5backed Yes | 77c | 130.71$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.71 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 65cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Yes | 29c | 126.68$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.21 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked No | 20c | 112.13$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.6 | 69 | 34.8%24 W · 45 L | -5.5wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51d7…f1dbbacked Yes | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +63.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a6…f48bbacked Yes | 56c | 105.72$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +77.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed No | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 153 | 44.4%68 W · 85 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed No | 69c | 93.24$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.14 | 319 | 52.4%167 W · 152 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ec5…4168backed No | 72c | 90.28$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 74cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked No | 55c | 86.26$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.08 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 18c | 75$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.7 | 211 | 39.8%84 W · 127 L | -15.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 48c | 69.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.76 | 178 | 42.1%75 W · 103 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked No | 70c | 62.64$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.54 | 140 | 67.9%95 W · 45 L | +12.4wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 69c | 59.98$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.39 | 186 | 53.8%100 W · 86 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1400…765dbacked Yes | 29c | 50.24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.67 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 43cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Yes | 27c | 50$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.5 | 454 | 50%227 W · 227 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3740…a935backed Yes | 59c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a5a…3427backed No | 73c | 50$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.5 | 69 | 56.5%39 W · 30 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 72c | 49$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.28 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcadd…c7e6backed No | 70c | 45$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 31c | 43.33$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.9 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fb…6e68backed Yes | 59c | 42.59$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.59 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Yes | 32c | 42.15$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.72 | 224 | 55.8%125 W · 99 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes | 32c | 41.97$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.54 | 403 | 57.1%230 W · 173 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed No | 73c | 41.78$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.59 | 202 | 53.5%108 W · 94 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0497…c5e3backed Yes | 35c | 40$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +4.0wins | +0.17per pick | 39cpaid | +64.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc978…706bbacked Yes | 28c | 37.72$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.16 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b80…8b39backed Yes | 32c | 34.63$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.62 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed No | 69c | 32.28$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.14 | 198 | 65.2%129 W · 69 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 72c | 30$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked No | 43c | 27.61$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.87 | 34 | 5.9%2 W · 32 L | -8.0wins | -0.24per pick | 29cpaid | -89.1%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x87dc…a465backed Yes | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +74.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a4…f0eabacked Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 55c | 24.41$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.42 | 1,419 | 45.6%647 W · 772 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb0…bd65backed No | 58c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed No | 63c | 19.96$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.58 | 440 | 39.3%173 W · 267 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdef…7f96backed No | 68c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 73cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed No | 72c | 14.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +53%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol B vs. Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa end in a draw?this page
- Will Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa win on 2026-05-31?No won
- Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol B win on 2026-05-31?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.