Valorant · resolved market
Will ARETE Win Challengers 2026: Korea WDG Split 2
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x299c543daf18b179ffd724f98caef1ed5bd12590ca17222a9cc943ba5a1268e9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,862
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,246
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,862 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8c10…d7b3backed Yes | 29c | 377$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 69c | 300$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -3.0wins | -0.17per pick | 61cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 29c | 237$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.36 | 48 | 18.8%9 W · 39 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 71c | 209.99$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.68 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb637…4c42backed Yes | 20c | 200.68$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.38 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +3.8wins | +0.13per pick | 29cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 75c | 139$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.21 | 463 | 26.6%123 W · 340 L | -26.0wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9366…a9f6backed Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 59c | 92.57$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.11 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd25b…9f3dbacked Yes | 18c | 91.75$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 74c | 81.01$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc4…f3dabacked Yes | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.95 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -3.9wins | -0.39per pick | 49cpaid | -86.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb5…cf85backed Yes | 23c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb84c…e169backed No | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58e9…441abacked Yes | 23c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe457…5ab3backed Yes | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.95 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 76c | 37$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.76 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.21per pick | 63cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 60c | 34$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.74 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 73c | 28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.61 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +67.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5566…7c29backed No | 77c | 23.01$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +47%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed0a…708cbacked No | 76c | 20.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb57e…0b91backed No | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.3 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 55cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc05…9a76backed No | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will ARETE Win Challengers 2026: Korea WDG Split 2this page
- Will DRX Academy Win Challengers 2026: Korea WDG Split 2No won
- Will Dplus Esports Win Challengers 2026: Korea WDG Split 2No won
- Will Gen.G Global Academy Win Challengers 2026: Korea WDG Split 2No won
- Will ONSIDE GAMING Win Challengers 2026: Korea WDG Split 2Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.