MLB · resolved market
KBO: LG Twins vs. SSG Landers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc7f6b8012e5370332f717567f1c35df15708772e7df788adbd44191f11271286
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- SSG Landersof LG Twins, SSG Landers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,764
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,052
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,764 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x73f7…b2e9backed LG Twins | 69c | 11,018$7,595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,594.79 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked LG Twins | 33c | 5,521$1,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,839.74 | 301 | 40.5%122 W · 179 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9960…a699backed SSG Landers | 69c | 4,747$3,295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,452.42 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +3.3wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x885f…8ed9backed SSG Landers | 31c | 3,462$1,073 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,389.69 | 326 | 52.5%171 W · 155 L | +15.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed SSG Landers | 36c | 3,054$1,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,959.11 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed SSG Landers | 31c | 2,264$702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,562.3 | 776 | 47.4%368 W · 408 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed LG Twins | 13c | 1,813$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.78 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed SSG Landers | 43c | 1,007$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.21 | 718 | 50.1%360 W · 358 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked SSG Landers | 31c | 1,000$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690 | 167 | 53.9%90 W · 77 L | +10.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd21c…2afcbacked SSG Landers | 63c | 985.28$625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.68 | 60 | 65%39 W · 21 L | +6.4wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd4eb…7ba3backed LG Twins | 4c | 846.75$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.11 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbac…38d0backed LG Twins | 47c | 792.62$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.7 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed SSG Landers | 31c | 645.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.16 | 110 | 41.8%46 W · 64 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4ee…4429backed SSG Landers | 31c | 445.68$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +218.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed LG Twins | 68c | 402.67$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.09 | 208 | 45.2%94 W · 114 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc064…6fa8backed SSG Landers | 55c | 370.53$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.4 | 181 | 51.9%94 W · 87 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed LG Twins | 68c | 342.49$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.62 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12cc…3587backed LG Twins | 68c | 330$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.4 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb43e…8200backed SSG Landers | 35c | 319.97$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.98 | 227 | 44.9%102 W · 125 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked SSG Landers | 31c | 300$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206 | 994 | 47.3%470 W · 524 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd428…6368backed LG Twins | 70c | 300$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 390 | 56.9%222 W · 168 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed SSG Landers | 63c | 294.75$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.89 | 753 | 44.1%332 W · 421 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed SSG Landers | 48c | 285.26$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.31 | 780 | 52.2%407 W · 373 L | +22.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked LG Twins | 26c | 282.9$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.75 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked SSG Landers | 76c | 227.15$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.64 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked SSG Landers | 69c | 225.65$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.85 | 1,814 | 49.1%891 W · 923 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc22e…eab8backed SSG Landers | 35c | 179.75$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.25 | 488 | 51.6%252 W · 236 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9950…1432backed SSG Landers | 58c | 168.79$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.38 | 158 | 49.4%78 W · 80 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed SSG Landers | 47c | 167.28$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.79 | 625 | 54.2%339 W · 286 L | +23.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb41e…11fdbacked LG Twins | 9c | 159.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.08 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 16cpaid | -78.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb904…3ef8backed SSG Landers | 51c | 150$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.5 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +54.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5632…5fecbacked SSG Landers | 33c | 149.42$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.11 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf9…8292backed LG Twins | 65c | 146.52$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.24 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked LG Twins | 43c | 133.54$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.04 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2465…5d84backed SSG Landers | 79c | 126$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.31 | 1,100 | 79.6%876 W · 224 L | +32.7wins | +0.03per pick | 77cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc8…e209backed SSG Landers | 31c | 124.22$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.71 | 461 | 52.1%240 W · 221 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed SSG Landers | 47c | 121.63$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.53 | 474 | 46.6%221 W · 253 L | +26.0wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8859…89d6backed SSG Landers | 33c | 121.55$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.56 | 159 | 53.5%85 W · 74 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d7a…ebe3backed SSG Landers | 31c | 108.82$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.74 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x212b…0ba5backed SSG Landers | 37c | 97.5$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.4 | 536 | 55.8%299 W · 237 L | +22.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e4…3b32backed SSG Landers | 65c | 97.15$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.14 | 293 | 50.9%149 W · 144 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…eee6backed LG Twins | 65c | 94.15$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.2 | 145 | 55.9%81 W · 64 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x402a…624fbacked SSG Landers | 69c | 93.77$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.12 | 229 | 49.8%114 W · 115 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked LG Twins | 75c | 93$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.75 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed SSG Landers | 34c | 88.24$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.24 | 160 | 44.4%71 W · 89 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked SSG Landers | 25c | 81.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.09 | 486 | 53.7%261 W · 225 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70bb…10d3backed SSG Landers | 45c | 68.94$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.87 | 274 | 51.8%142 W · 132 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…362bbacked LG Twins | 28c | 65.59$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.58 | 170 | 47.1%80 W · 90 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed LG Twins | 66c | 50.29$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.19 | 1,804 | 53.8%970 W · 834 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c15…45a0backed LG Twins | 73c | 50.2$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.55 | 97 | 40.2%39 W · 58 L | -10.7wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed SSG Landers | 32c | 50$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.8 | 827 | 41.1%340 W · 487 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea50…667dbacked SSG Landers | 30c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 79 | 53.2%42 W · 37 L | +7.8wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed LG Twins | 65c | 49$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.96 | 1,851 | 53.1%982 W · 869 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed LG Twins | 49c | 44$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.73 | 946 | 55.3%523 W · 423 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2db9…cdc5backed SSG Landers | 41c | 43.17$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.27 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed LG Twins | 41c | 42.3$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.34 | 351 | 37%130 W · 221 L | -17.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01af…7bc2backed SSG Landers | 48c | 41.88$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.89 | 86 | 66.3%57 W · 29 L | +11.9wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x26d3…8a20backed SSG Landers | 45c | 39.33$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.63 | 63 | 71.4%45 W · 18 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5430…fbbbbacked LG Twins | 66c | 37.66$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 808 | 55.3%447 W · 361 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x126e…c360backed SSG Landers | 32c | 37.5$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.28per pick | 44cpaid | +71.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked LG Twins | 70c | 33.33$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.33 | 457 | 48.6%222 W · 235 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe49f…03acbacked SSG Landers | 33c | 32.65$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.99 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4d…1cb0backed SSG Landers | 80c | 31.8$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.46 | 639 | 54.5%348 W · 291 L | +14.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked LG Twins | 59c | 30.51$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1,203 | 48.5%584 W · 619 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked SSG Landers | 77c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.76 | 707 | 37.6%266 W · 441 L | +24.5wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56fa…30cebacked SSG Landers | 46c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 233 | 57.5%134 W · 99 L | +22.2wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1a86…0079backed SSG Landers | 53c | 23.95$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.26 | 108 | 38.9%42 W · 66 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked SSG Landers | 70c | 21.97$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.56 | 557 | 58%323 W · 234 L | +24.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe315…3911backed LG Twins | 67c | 21.21$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb871…b3c3backed LG Twins | 68c | 15.56$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.53 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.