TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Will Tyler Bell be drafted in the top 10 in the 2026 MLB Draft?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$566
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$569

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $566 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 10 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xefac…c9a1backed Yes60c108$65 inWon+$43.019751.5%50 W · 47 L+4.9wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+17%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed No42c74.67$31 inLost-$31.366440.6%26 W · 38 L-4.0wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-20.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed No45c74.35$33 inLost-$33.261,80353.8%970 W · 833 L+17.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x94df…e399backed Yes56c73.02$41 inWon+$32.121100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe74…a70ebacked No38c60$23 inLost-$231216.7%2 W · 10 L-1.9wins-0.16per pick33cpaid-75.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x28ca…5d19backed Yes55c42$23 inWon+$18.72070%14 W · 6 L+4.6wins+0.23per pick47cpaid+75.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Yes33c38$13 inWon+$25.4677752.1%405 W · 372 L+36.0wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2b9d…95f4backed No67c38$25 inLost-$25.461136.4%4 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.19per pick56cpaid-48.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5b7d…cb08backed Yes62c20$12 inWon+$7.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x29ef…dddabacked Yes62c20$12 inWon+$7.63100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+40.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.