TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Golf · resolved market

Will Scottie Scheffler finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 U.S. Open?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Golfevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,078
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,942

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,078 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Golf is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Golf
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xccf1…25a0backed No70c308.14$215 inLost-$214.6912057.5%69 W · 51 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick60cpaid+0.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Yes73c189.35$139 inWon+$50.561656.3%9 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-10%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed No8c174$13 inLost-$13.434932.7%16 W · 33 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-41.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Yes56c160$90 inWon+$69.8818446.2%85 W · 99 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-9.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Yes59c152.42$90 inWon+$62.222347.8%11 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-28.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes47c116.28$54 inWon+$61.966445.3%29 W · 35 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x758b…0a1cbacked Yes33c111.35$37 inWon+$74.075650%28 W · 28 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-4.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb0eb…af1ebacked No50c97.08$48 inLost-$48.263915.4%6 W · 33 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick12cpaid-28.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5bc5…c64dbacked No56c74.99$42 inLost-$4210268.6%70 W · 32 L+14.0wins+0.14per pick55cpaid+27.6%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked No49c55$27 inLost-$27.1322546.7%105 W · 120 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe3d9…f89bbacked Yes42c50$21 inWon+$28.9333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick24cpaid-21%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked No50c41$21 inLost-$20.549747.4%46 W · 51 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf006…bb6cbacked No39c40.72$16 inLost-$15.969554.7%52 W · 43 L-0.3wins0.00per pick55cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b7d…cb08backed No62c40$25 inLost-$24.82744.4%12 W · 15 L-3.3wins-0.12per pick57cpaid-29.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x15a6…bf5dbacked No60c30$18 inLost-$184436.4%16 W · 28 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-27.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7697…56bebacked Yes40c30$12 inWon+$181100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0110…af5dbacked Yes72c25$18 inWon+$7922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.22per pick44cpaid-63.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8ff2…54b8backed No62c24.2$15 inLost-$15250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+54.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64d4…f056backed Yes58c20.47$12 inWon+$8.524379.1%34 W · 9 L+8.6wins+0.20per pick59cpaid+42.6%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xcc2c…0a2cbacked No67c20$13 inLost-$13.41241.7%5 W · 7 L-2.3wins-0.19per pick61cpaid-33.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5e02…b178backed No59c19.23$11 inLost-$11.2711412.3%14 W · 100 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick13cpaid-55.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Golf and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.