Golf · resolved market
Will Rory McIlroy finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 U.S. Open?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa52ff51a55b3750e3a2325628ac4e7d321590d20e1b6b2770616bd3fc97caf6f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Golfevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,160
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,147
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,160 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Golf is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Golf | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed No | 62c | 1,532$944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.7 | 120 | 57.5%69 W · 51 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef83…efa7backed Yes | 29c | 702.08$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.4 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 42c | 388.52$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.18 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5871…0defbacked Yes | 16c | 275.03$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.37 | 20 | 0%0 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff4b…d019backed No | 80c | 274.9$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Yes | 40c | 196.51$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.96 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e02…b178backed No | 72c | 175.47$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.4 | 114 | 12.3%14 W · 100 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf006…bb6cbacked No | 71c | 132.17$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.21 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 28c | 127$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.78 | 184 | 46.2%85 W · 99 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Yes | 36c | 94.45$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.23 | 84 | 29.8%25 W · 59 L | -7.9wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 12c | 87.16$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x285f…0f08backed Yes | 22c | 84.13$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.18 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 48c | 66$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.39 | 254 | 49.2%125 W · 129 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x758b…0a1cbacked No | 76c | 59.99$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3da…0088backed Yes | 37c | 54.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 18cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc5…c64dbacked No | 43c | 26.44$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.95 | 102 | 68.6%70 W · 32 L | +14.0wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 75c | 24.71$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.18 | 105 | 46.7%49 W · 56 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2cf…464bbacked No | 77c | 23.2$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.31 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd9f…a686backed No | 70c | 14.29$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.29 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 70cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Golf and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Rory McIlroy finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 U.S. Open?this page
- Will Alex Fitzpatrick finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 U.S. Open?No won
- Will Alexander Noren finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 U.S. Open?No won
- Will Bryson DeChambeau finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 U.S. Open?No won
- Will Cameron Smith finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 U.S. Open?No won
- Will Collin Morikawa finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 U.S. Open?No won
- Will Davis Thompson finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 U.S. Open?No won
- Will Emiliano Grillo finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 U.S. Open?No won
- Will Gary Woodland finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 U.S. Open?No won
- Will Harris English finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 U.S. Open?No won
- Will Keith Mitchell finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 U.S. Open?Yes won
- Will Kristoffer Reitan finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 U.S. Open?No won
- Will Matt Fitzpatrick finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 U.S. Open?No won
- Will Michael Kim finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 U.S. Open?No won
- Will Sam Burns finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 U.S. Open?Yes won
- Will Scottie Scheffler finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 U.S. Open?Yes won
- Will Tom Kim finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 U.S. Open?Yes won
- Will Tommy Fleetwood finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 U.S. Open?No won
- Will Wyndham Clark finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 U.S. Open?Yes won
- Will Xander Schauffele finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 U.S. Open?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.