Golf · resolved market
Will Matt Fitzpatrick finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 U.S. Open?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd52d8c6399870b5add8fd0867ddba420604f98530f294ee4618bc26b8d9fb66d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Golfevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,223
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,993
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,223 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 12 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Golf is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Golf | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed No | 66c | 1,011$667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.22 | 120 | 57.5%69 W · 51 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Yes | 31c | 549.66$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.89 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7ec…0931backed Yes | 22c | 276.14$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 35 | 11.4%4 W · 31 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | +147.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 33c | 229.43$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.02 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd62…5bb3backed Yes | 20c | 145.23$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e02…b178backed No | 80c | 112.5$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 114 | 12.3%14 W · 100 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 35c | 89$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 184 | 46.2%85 W · 99 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5871…0defbacked Yes | 28c | 87.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 20 | 0%0 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff4b…d019backed No | 58c | 78.45$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.3 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed No | 73c | 60$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x285f…0f08backed Yes | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x758b…0a1cbacked No | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Golf and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Matt Fitzpatrick finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 U.S. Open?this page
- Will Alex Fitzpatrick finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 U.S. Open?No won
- Will Alexander Noren finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 U.S. Open?No won
- Will Bryson DeChambeau finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 U.S. Open?No won
- Will Cameron Smith finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 U.S. Open?No won
- Will Collin Morikawa finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 U.S. Open?No won
- Will Davis Thompson finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 U.S. Open?No won
- Will Emiliano Grillo finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 U.S. Open?No won
- Will Gary Woodland finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 U.S. Open?No won
- Will Harris English finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 U.S. Open?No won
- Will Keith Mitchell finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 U.S. Open?Yes won
- Will Kristoffer Reitan finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 U.S. Open?No won
- Will Michael Kim finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 U.S. Open?No won
- Will Rory McIlroy finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 U.S. Open?No won
- Will Sam Burns finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 U.S. Open?Yes won
- Will Scottie Scheffler finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 U.S. Open?Yes won
- Will Tom Kim finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 U.S. Open?Yes won
- Will Tommy Fleetwood finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 U.S. Open?No won
- Will Wyndham Clark finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 U.S. Open?Yes won
- Will Xander Schauffele finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 U.S. Open?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.