Golf · resolved market

Will Matt Fitzpatrick finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 U.S. Open?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x70ce665347243c3faf1c50cdca08c8e4b743ec01acefcc2b98e004c893c165dd

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 21, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Golfevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $1,448
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $1,508

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,448 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Golf is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Golf
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes	62c	444$274 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$274.04	64	45.3%29 W · 35 L	+3.5wins	+0.05per pick	40cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed No	38c	444$170 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$274.04	120	57.5%69 W · 51 L	-2.5wins	-0.02per pick	60cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Yes	65c	168$109 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$109.37	184	46.2%85 W · 99 L	+3.6wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed No	27c	155.09$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$113.22	23	43.5%10 W · 13 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-24.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked No	39c	103$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$63.19	225	46.7%105 W · 120 L	+5.6wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5ae1…6abdbacked Yes	58c	100$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58	20	30%6 W · 14 L	+1.9wins	+0.09per pick	21cpaid	+59.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed Yes	73c	99.96$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.97	83	43.4%36 W · 47 L	-8.6wins	-0.10per pick	54cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x758b…0a1cbacked Yes	73c	60$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.8	56	50%28 W · 28 L	-2.2wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x510f…a43cbacked No	48c	45$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.27	55	40%22 W · 33 L	-2.1wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked No	49c	42$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.42	97	47.4%46 W · 51 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes	71c	40$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.4	67	46.3%31 W · 36 L	-2.3wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-18.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7756…c1e1backed Yes	74c	31.77$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.6	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.7wins	-0.74per pick	74cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b7d…cb08backed Yes	73c	30$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.9	27	44.4%12 W · 15 L	-3.3wins	-0.12per pick	57cpaid	-29.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed No	68c	24.88$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.96	105	46.7%49 W · 56 L	-3.4wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf33e…0ab8backed Yes	72c	20$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.4	19	52.6%10 W · 9 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	+15.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe457…5ab3backed Yes	73c	20$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.6	16	31.3%5 W · 11 L	-3.1wins	-0.19per pick	50cpaid	-34%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x047e…fe6dbacked Yes	58c	18.97$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.6wins	-0.55per pick	55cpaid	-100%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xddcc…d167backed Yes	74c	16.95$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.54	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.7wins	-0.74per pick	74cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Golf and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 31 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Matt Fitzpatrick finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 U.S. Open?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event